Persistent heavy rain, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover across Tokyo on September 20 are limiting overnight radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures near 21–22°C according to official forecasts. High humidity levels above 90% and northerly winds further moderate temperature drops, consistent with typical late-September climatology where average lows range 20–22°C. These conditions explain the market’s strong implied probabilities for 22°C (62.5%) and 21°C (31.5%), as traders incorporate real-time model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency showing limited variability in the overnight minimum. Updated forecasts and any clearing trends could still shift outcomes slightly before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20 सितंबर को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
20 सितंबर को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
21°C 29%
20°C 6%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$12,606 वॉल्यूम
$12,606 वॉल्यूम
20 सित, 2026
16°C या उससे कम
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
13%
21°C
29%
22°C
63%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C या अधिक
<1%
21°C 29%
20°C 6%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$12,606 वॉल्यूम
$12,606 वॉल्यूम
20 सित, 2026
16°C या उससे कम
$141 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$93 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$988 वॉल्यूम
1%
19°C
$611 वॉल्यूम
1%
20°C
$963 वॉल्यूम
13%
21°C
$1,822 वॉल्यूम
29%
22°C
$2,092 वॉल्यूम
63%
23°C
$5,792 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$32 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$32 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C या अधिक
$41 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heavy rain, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover across Tokyo on September 20 are limiting overnight radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures near 21–22°C according to official forecasts. High humidity levels above 90% and northerly winds further moderate temperature drops, consistent with typical late-September climatology where average lows range 20–22°C. These conditions explain the market’s strong implied probabilities for 22°C (62.5%) and 21°C (31.5%), as traders incorporate real-time model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency showing limited variability in the overnight minimum. Updated forecasts and any clearing trends could still shift outcomes slightly before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,606समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heavy rain, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover across Tokyo on September 20 are limiting overnight radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures near 21–22°C according to official forecasts. High humidity levels above 90% and northerly winds further moderate temperature drops, consistent with typical late-September climatology where average lows range 20–22°C. These conditions explain the market’s strong implied probabilities for 22°C (62.5%) and 21°C (31.5%), as traders incorporate real-time model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency showing limited variability in the overnight minimum. Updated forecasts and any clearing trends could still shift outcomes slightly before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$12,606समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heavy rain, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover across Tokyo on September 20 are limiting overnight radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures near 21–22°C according to official forecasts. High humidity levels above 90% and northerly winds further moderate temperature drops, consistent with typical late-September climatology where average lows range 20–22°C. These conditions explain the market’s strong implied probabilities for 22°C (62.5%) and 21°C (31.5%), as traders incorporate real-time model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency showing limited variability in the overnight minimum. Updated forecasts and any clearing trends could still shift outcomes slightly before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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