Recent forecast models from agencies including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology indicate overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies will drive Warsaw's minimum temperature to 6°C on September 13. This aligns with observed surface temperatures falling to 12–13°C by early morning and projected further decline amid light southerly winds and dew points near 10–11°C. Historical September climatology shows typical lows around 8–10°C, but current high-pressure dominance and limited cloud cover favor the cooler outcome. Traders assign 97% implied probability to exactly 6°C because ensemble guidance clusters tightly there, though a stronger nocturnal inversion or unexpected wind shift could push readings to 5°C or below. Updated model runs later today will refine the final minimum before market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 सितंबर को वारसॉ में सबसे कम तापमान?
13 सितंबर को वारसॉ में सबसे कम तापमान?
6°C 97%
5°C या उससे नीचे 16%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
नया
नया
13 सित, 2026
5°C या उससे नीचे
16%
6°C
97%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
6°C 97%
5°C या उससे नीचे 16%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
नया
नया
13 सित, 2026
5°C या उससे नीचे
$212 वॉल्यूम
16%
6°C
$323 वॉल्यूम
97%
7°C
$566 वॉल्यूम
<1%
8°C
$74 वॉल्यूम
<1%
9°C
$304 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$228 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$58 वॉल्यूम
<1%
12°C
$52 वॉल्यूम
<1%
13°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
14°C
$25 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C या उससे अधिक
$33 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology indicate overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies will drive Warsaw's minimum temperature to 6°C on September 13. This aligns with observed surface temperatures falling to 12–13°C by early morning and projected further decline amid light southerly winds and dew points near 10–11°C. Historical September climatology shows typical lows around 8–10°C, but current high-pressure dominance and limited cloud cover favor the cooler outcome. Traders assign 97% implied probability to exactly 6°C because ensemble guidance clusters tightly there, though a stronger nocturnal inversion or unexpected wind shift could push readings to 5°C or below. Updated model runs later today will refine the final minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,875समाप्ति तिथि
13 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology indicate overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies will drive Warsaw's minimum temperature to 6°C on September 13. This aligns with observed surface temperatures falling to 12–13°C by early morning and projected further decline amid light southerly winds and dew points near 10–11°C. Historical September climatology shows typical lows around 8–10°C, but current high-pressure dominance and limited cloud cover favor the cooler outcome. Traders assign 97% implied probability to exactly 6°C because ensemble guidance clusters tightly there, though a stronger nocturnal inversion or unexpected wind shift could push readings to 5°C or below. Updated model runs later today will refine the final minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,875समाप्ति तिथि
13 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology indicate overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies will drive Warsaw's minimum temperature to 6°C on September 13. This aligns with observed surface temperatures falling to 12–13°C by early morning and projected further decline amid light southerly winds and dew points near 10–11°C. Historical September climatology shows typical lows around 8–10°C, but current high-pressure dominance and limited cloud cover favor the cooler outcome. Traders assign 97% implied probability to exactly 6°C because ensemble guidance clusters tightly there, though a stronger nocturnal inversion or unexpected wind shift could push readings to 5°C or below. Updated model runs later today will refine the final minimum before market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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