**Trader consensus centers on a 10°C minimum for Wellington on August 27, 2026, reflecting strong alignment in official forecasts.** New Zealand MetService and supporting models project an overnight low near 10°C under brisk northerly to northwesterly winds, with partly cloudy conditions and limited radiational cooling. This matches the market's near-100% implied probability on the 10°C outcome, as real-time observations and short-range guidance show temperatures stabilizing around that threshold after daytime highs near 13–15°C. Historical August climatology for Wellington supports typical overnight minima of 8–11°C, placing the current forecast squarely within normal bounds without extreme deviations. The primary driver remains the latest model consensus on steering flow and cloud cover, which limits further cooling. Realistic challenges include a sharper wind shift allowing clearer skies for enhanced nocturnal cooling or station-specific measurement variance at the official Wellington site, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of dropping to 9°C or below before midnight. Updated MetService briefings and any late-model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for any market movement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया27 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
27 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
10°C 100.0%
5°C या उससे नीचे <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$1,845 वॉल्यूम
$1,845 वॉल्यूम
27 अग, 2026
5°C या उससे नीचे
नहीं
6°C
नहीं
7°C
नहीं
8°C
नहीं
9°C
नहीं
10°C
हाँ
11°C
नहीं
12°C
नहीं
13°C
नहीं
14°C
नहीं
15°C या अधिक
नहीं
10°C 100.0%
5°C या उससे नीचे <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$1,845 वॉल्यूम
$1,845 वॉल्यूम
27 अग, 2026
5°C या उससे नीचे
$193 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
6°C
$63 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
7°C
$94 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
8°C
$113 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
9°C
$97 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
10°C
$217 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
11°C
$223 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
12°C
$133 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
13°C
$43 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
14°C
$315 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
15°C या अधिक
$356 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 10°C minimum for Wellington on August 27, 2026, reflecting strong alignment in official forecasts.** New Zealand MetService and supporting models project an overnight low near 10°C under brisk northerly to northwesterly winds, with partly cloudy conditions and limited radiational cooling. This matches the market's near-100% implied probability on the 10°C outcome, as real-time observations and short-range guidance show temperatures stabilizing around that threshold after daytime highs near 13–15°C. Historical August climatology for Wellington supports typical overnight minima of 8–11°C, placing the current forecast squarely within normal bounds without extreme deviations.
The primary driver remains the latest model consensus on steering flow and cloud cover, which limits further cooling. Realistic challenges include a sharper wind shift allowing clearer skies for enhanced nocturnal cooling or station-specific measurement variance at the official Wellington site, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of dropping to 9°C or below before midnight. Updated MetService briefings and any late-model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for any market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,845समाप्ति तिथि
27 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 10°C minimum for Wellington on August 27, 2026, reflecting strong alignment in official forecasts.** New Zealand MetService and supporting models project an overnight low near 10°C under brisk northerly to northwesterly winds, with partly cloudy conditions and limited radiational cooling. This matches the market's near-100% implied probability on the 10°C outcome, as real-time observations and short-range guidance show temperatures stabilizing around that threshold after daytime highs near 13–15°C. Historical August climatology for Wellington supports typical overnight minima of 8–11°C, placing the current forecast squarely within normal bounds without extreme deviations.
The primary driver remains the latest model consensus on steering flow and cloud cover, which limits further cooling. Realistic challenges include a sharper wind shift allowing clearer skies for enhanced nocturnal cooling or station-specific measurement variance at the official Wellington site, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of dropping to 9°C or below before midnight. Updated MetService briefings and any late-model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for any market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,845समाप्ति तिथि
27 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
**Trader consensus centers on a 10°C minimum for Wellington on August 27, 2026, reflecting strong alignment in official forecasts.** New Zealand MetService and supporting models project an overnight low near 10°C under brisk northerly to northwesterly winds, with partly cloudy conditions and limited radiational cooling. This matches the market's near-100% implied probability on the 10°C outcome, as real-time observations and short-range guidance show temperatures stabilizing around that threshold after daytime highs near 13–15°C. Historical August climatology for Wellington supports typical overnight minima of 8–11°C, placing the current forecast squarely within normal bounds without extreme deviations. The primary driver remains the latest model consensus on steering flow and cloud cover, which limits further cooling. Realistic challenges include a sharper wind shift allowing clearer skies for enhanced nocturnal cooling or station-specific measurement variance at the official Wellington site, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of dropping to 9°C or below before midnight. Updated MetService briefings and any late-model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for any market movement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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