Forecast models from agencies like MetService and international sources show a frontal passage and southerly wind shift expected around September 6 in Wellington, introducing cooler maritime air after northwesterly flow, with associated cloud cover, showers, and potential for localized cooling. This setup creates divergence in minimum temperature projections, as the precise timing of the change, wind strength, and overnight radiative cooling under varying cloud cover can shift the daily low by several degrees. Current trader-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with substantial positioning on both sub-9°C outcomes tied to stronger southerly advection and higher values around 12–13°C if milder conditions linger longer. Upcoming model runs and observational updates from regional stations will likely refine the minimum threshold ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
8°C या उससे कम 69%
18°C या उससे अधिक 69%
14°C 39%
15°C 39%
8°C या उससे कम
69%
9°C
14%
10°C
18%
11°C
21%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C या उससे अधिक
69%
8°C या उससे कम 69%
18°C या उससे अधिक 69%
14°C 39%
15°C 39%
8°C या उससे कम
69%
9°C
14%
10°C
18%
11°C
21%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C या उससे अधिक
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like MetService and international sources show a frontal passage and southerly wind shift expected around September 6 in Wellington, introducing cooler maritime air after northwesterly flow, with associated cloud cover, showers, and potential for localized cooling. This setup creates divergence in minimum temperature projections, as the precise timing of the change, wind strength, and overnight radiative cooling under varying cloud cover can shift the daily low by several degrees. Current trader-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with substantial positioning on both sub-9°C outcomes tied to stronger southerly advection and higher values around 12–13°C if milder conditions linger longer. Upcoming model runs and observational updates from regional stations will likely refine the minimum threshold ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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