The market's strong lean toward no Atlantic hurricane forming in September 2026 reflects the basin's record inactivity, driven by persistent high wind shear associated with a strong El Niño that has suppressed intensification all season. As of September 21, only six named storms have developed, with zero reaching hurricane strength on the Saffir-Simpson scale—the latest such drought in the satellite era. Tropical Storm Fay, which formed September 19–20 far east near the Azores, has briefly approached but is forecast by the National Hurricane Center to remain below hurricane intensity before weakening amid unfavorable conditions. Limited time remains in the month, and model consensus shows low near-term development potential elsewhere. Traders are pricing in this combination of climatological suppression and current steering patterns that favor open-ocean dissipation over rapid strengthening.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में अटलांटिक में पहला तूफ़ान कब बनेगा?
2026 में अटलांटिक में पहला तूफ़ान कब बनेगा?
सितंबर 2026 में कोई अटलांटिक तूफ़ान नहीं बनेगा 62%
26 सितंबर से 30 सितंबर, 2026 15.0%
21 सितंबर से 25 सितंबर, 2026 14%
16 सितंबर से 20 सितंबर, 2026 2.4%
$36,533 वॉल्यूम
$36,533 वॉल्यूम
15 सित, 2026
11 सितंबर से 15 सितंबर, 2026
1%
16 सितंबर से 20 सितंबर, 2026
2%
21 सितंबर से 25 सितंबर, 2026
14%
26 सितंबर से 30 सितंबर, 2026
12%
सितंबर 2026 में कोई अटलांटिक तूफ़ान नहीं बनेगा
72%
सितंबर 2026 में कोई अटलांटिक तूफ़ान नहीं बनेगा 62%
26 सितंबर से 30 सितंबर, 2026 15.0%
21 सितंबर से 25 सितंबर, 2026 14%
16 सितंबर से 20 सितंबर, 2026 2.4%
$36,533 वॉल्यूम
$36,533 वॉल्यूम
15 सित, 2026
11 सितंबर से 15 सितंबर, 2026
$1,368 वॉल्यूम
1%
16 सितंबर से 20 सितंबर, 2026
$11,400 वॉल्यूम
2%
21 सितंबर से 25 सितंबर, 2026
$9,048 वॉल्यूम
14%
26 सितंबर से 30 सितंबर, 2026
$3,161 वॉल्यूम
12%
सितंबर 2026 में कोई अटलांटिक तूफ़ान नहीं बनेगा
$10,946 वॉल्यूम
72%
This market resolves based on when the first Atlantic hurricane forms in 2026, as classified by the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC). Each bracket is inclusive of both its start and end dates, evaluated in U.S. Eastern Time (ET). The bracket containing the date of the first qualifying NHC advisory will resolve "Yes", and all other brackets will resolve "No".
A tropical cyclone is considered a hurricane when it has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale). A system is considered to have "formed" as a hurricane at the date and time of the first NHC public advisory that classifies a system in the Atlantic basin as a hurricane. Resolution is based on that first advisory, regardless of any later downward revision or reclassification. The sole determinant of when the hurricane formed is the issuance timestamp of that first classifying NHC advisory (evaluated in U.S. Eastern Time), not the estimated time at which the system's winds first reached 74 mph; for a system that straddles midnight between September 30 and October 1, 2026, the applicable bracket is determined solely by whether that advisory's issuance timestamp falls before or after 12:00 AM ET on October 1, 2026.
The bracket "No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026" will resolve "Yes" if no NHC advisory classifies any Atlantic-basin system as a hurricane at any time from 12:00 AM ET on September 1, 2026 through 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026. In the event that the NHC has not published any data by September 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or if the NHC becomes unavailable, this market will resolve to "No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026".
The resolution source for this market is the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC), available here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/The market's strong lean toward no Atlantic hurricane forming in September 2026 reflects the basin's record inactivity, driven by persistent high wind shear associated with a strong El Niño that has suppressed intensification all season. As of September 21, only six named storms have developed, with zero reaching hurricane strength on the Saffir-Simpson scale—the latest such drought in the satellite era. Tropical Storm Fay, which formed September 19–20 far east near the Azores, has briefly approached but is forecast by the National Hurricane Center to remain below hurricane intensity before weakening amid unfavorable conditions. Limited time remains in the month, and model consensus shows low near-term development potential elsewhere. Traders are pricing in this combination of climatological suppression and current steering patterns that favor open-ocean dissipation over rapid strengthening.
This market resolves based on when the first Atlantic hurricane forms in 2026, as classified by the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC). Each bracket is inclusive of both its start and end dates, evaluated in U.S. Eastern Time (ET). The bracket containing the date of the first qualifying NHC advisory will resolve "Yes", and all other brackets will resolve "No".
A tropical cyclone is considered a hurricane when it has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale). A system is considered to have "formed" as a hurricane at the date and time of the first NHC public advisory that classifies a system in the Atlantic basin as a hurricane. Resolution is based on that first advisory, regardless of any later downward revision or reclassification. The sole determinant of when the hurricane formed is the issuance timestamp of that first classifying NHC advisory (evaluated in U.S. Eastern Time), not the estimated time at which the system's winds first reached 74 mph; for a system that straddles midnight between September 30 and October 1, 2026, the applicable bracket is determined solely by whether that advisory's issuance timestamp falls before or after 12:00 AM ET on October 1, 2026.
The bracket "No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026" will resolve "Yes" if no NHC advisory classifies any Atlantic-basin system as a hurricane at any time from 12:00 AM ET on September 1, 2026 through 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026. In the event that the NHC has not published any data by September 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or if the NHC becomes unavailable, this market will resolve to "No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026".
The resolution source for this market is the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC), available here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
A tropical cyclone is considered a hurricane when it has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale). A system is considered to have "formed" as a hurricane at the date and time of the first NHC public advisory that classifies a system in the Atlantic basin as a hurricane. Resolution is based on that first advisory, regardless of any later downward revision or reclassification. The sole determinant of when the hurricane formed is the issuance timestamp of that first classifying NHC advisory (evaluated in U.S. Eastern Time), not the estimated time at which the system's winds first reached 74 mph; for a system that straddles midnight between September 30 and October 1, 2026, the applicable bracket is determined solely by whether that advisory's issuance timestamp falls before or after 12:00 AM ET on October 1, 2026.
The bracket "No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026" will resolve "Yes" if no NHC advisory classifies any Atlantic-basin system as a hurricane at any time from 12:00 AM ET on September 1, 2026 through 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026. In the event that the NHC has not published any data by September 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or if the NHC becomes unavailable, this market will resolve to "No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026".
The resolution source for this market is the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC), available here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 4, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$36,533समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 12:02 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market resolves based on when the first Atlantic hurricane forms in 2026, as classified by the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC). Each bracket is inclusive of both its start and end dates, evaluated in U.S. Eastern Time (ET). The bracket containing the date of the first qualifying NHC advisory will resolve "Yes", and all other brackets will resolve "No".
A tropical cyclone is considered a hurricane when it has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale). A system is considered to have "formed" as a hurricane at the date and time of the first NHC public advisory that classifies a system in the Atlantic basin as a hurricane. Resolution is based on that first advisory, regardless of any later downward revision or reclassification. The sole determinant of when the hurricane formed is the issuance timestamp of that first classifying NHC advisory (evaluated in U.S. Eastern Time), not the estimated time at which the system's winds first reached 74 mph; for a system that straddles midnight between September 30 and October 1, 2026, the applicable bracket is determined solely by whether that advisory's issuance timestamp falls before or after 12:00 AM ET on October 1, 2026.
The bracket "No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026" will resolve "Yes" if no NHC advisory classifies any Atlantic-basin system as a hurricane at any time from 12:00 AM ET on September 1, 2026 through 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026. In the event that the NHC has not published any data by September 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or if the NHC becomes unavailable, this market will resolve to "No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026".
The resolution source for this market is the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC), available here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/The market's strong lean toward no Atlantic hurricane forming in September 2026 reflects the basin's record inactivity, driven by persistent high wind shear associated with a strong El Niño that has suppressed intensification all season. As of September 21, only six named storms have developed, with zero reaching hurricane strength on the Saffir-Simpson scale—the latest such drought in the satellite era. Tropical Storm Fay, which formed September 19–20 far east near the Azores, has briefly approached but is forecast by the National Hurricane Center to remain below hurricane intensity before weakening amid unfavorable conditions. Limited time remains in the month, and model consensus shows low near-term development potential elsewhere. Traders are pricing in this combination of climatological suppression and current steering patterns that favor open-ocean dissipation over rapid strengthening.
This market resolves based on when the first Atlantic hurricane forms in 2026, as classified by the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC). Each bracket is inclusive of both its start and end dates, evaluated in U.S. Eastern Time (ET). The bracket containing the date of the first qualifying NHC advisory will resolve "Yes", and all other brackets will resolve "No".
A tropical cyclone is considered a hurricane when it has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale). A system is considered to have "formed" as a hurricane at the date and time of the first NHC public advisory that classifies a system in the Atlantic basin as a hurricane. Resolution is based on that first advisory, regardless of any later downward revision or reclassification. The sole determinant of when the hurricane formed is the issuance timestamp of that first classifying NHC advisory (evaluated in U.S. Eastern Time), not the estimated time at which the system's winds first reached 74 mph; for a system that straddles midnight between September 30 and October 1, 2026, the applicable bracket is determined solely by whether that advisory's issuance timestamp falls before or after 12:00 AM ET on October 1, 2026.
The bracket "No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026" will resolve "Yes" if no NHC advisory classifies any Atlantic-basin system as a hurricane at any time from 12:00 AM ET on September 1, 2026 through 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026. In the event that the NHC has not published any data by September 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or if the NHC becomes unavailable, this market will resolve to "No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026".
The resolution source for this market is the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC), available here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
A tropical cyclone is considered a hurricane when it has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale). A system is considered to have "formed" as a hurricane at the date and time of the first NHC public advisory that classifies a system in the Atlantic basin as a hurricane. Resolution is based on that first advisory, regardless of any later downward revision or reclassification. The sole determinant of when the hurricane formed is the issuance timestamp of that first classifying NHC advisory (evaluated in U.S. Eastern Time), not the estimated time at which the system's winds first reached 74 mph; for a system that straddles midnight between September 30 and October 1, 2026, the applicable bracket is determined solely by whether that advisory's issuance timestamp falls before or after 12:00 AM ET on October 1, 2026.
The bracket "No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026" will resolve "Yes" if no NHC advisory classifies any Atlantic-basin system as a hurricane at any time from 12:00 AM ET on September 1, 2026 through 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026. In the event that the NHC has not published any data by September 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or if the NHC becomes unavailable, this market will resolve to "No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026".
The resolution source for this market is the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC), available here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
वॉल्यूम
$36,533समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 12:02 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The market's strong lean toward no Atlantic hurricane forming in September 2026 reflects the basin's record inactivity, driven by persistent high wind shear associated with a strong El Niño that has suppressed intensification all season. As of September 21, only six named storms have developed, with zero reaching hurricane strength on the Saffir-Simpson scale—the latest such drought in the satellite era. Tropical Storm Fay, which formed September 19–20 far east near the Azores, has briefly approached but is forecast by the National Hurricane Center to remain below hurricane intensity before weakening amid unfavorable conditions. Limited time remains in the month, and model consensus shows low near-term development potential elsewhere. Traders are pricing in this combination of climatological suppression and current steering patterns that favor open-ocean dissipation over rapid strengthening.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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