Meta's internal "Watermelon" model, positioned as the successor to the April 2026 Muse Spark release, has drawn trader attention due to July 2026 statements from Superintelligence Labs chief Alexandr Wang claiming it matches OpenAI's GPT-5.5 on undisclosed benchmarks while still in training and consuming roughly 10 times the compute of its predecessor. This brute-force scaling approach reflects Meta's broader $125–145 billion infrastructure push amid competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic. A September 2, 2026, Muse Spark 1.3 update included a public roadmap referencing larger models, though no official Watermelon launch timeline or public access details have been confirmed. Traders are monitoring for verifiable public release criteria, such as open beta availability, that would resolve the market, with any delays in training or verification likely to keep odds in flux.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
30 सित, 2026
30 सितंबर
14%
31 अक्टूबर
59%
30 नवंबर
79%
$947 वॉल्यूम
30 सितंबर
$20 वॉल्यूम
14%
31 अक्टूबर
$726 वॉल्यूम
59%
30 नवंबर
$201 वॉल्यूम
79%
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta's internal "Watermelon" model, positioned as the successor to the April 2026 Muse Spark release, has drawn trader attention due to July 2026 statements from Superintelligence Labs chief Alexandr Wang claiming it matches OpenAI's GPT-5.5 on undisclosed benchmarks while still in training and consuming roughly 10 times the compute of its predecessor. This brute-force scaling approach reflects Meta's broader $125–145 billion infrastructure push amid competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic. A September 2, 2026, Muse Spark 1.3 update included a public roadmap referencing larger models, though no official Watermelon launch timeline or public access details have been confirmed. Traders are monitoring for verifiable public release criteria, such as open beta availability, that would resolve the market, with any delays in training or verification likely to keep odds in flux.
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$947समाप्ति तिथि
30 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta's internal "Watermelon" model, positioned as the successor to the April 2026 Muse Spark release, has drawn trader attention due to July 2026 statements from Superintelligence Labs chief Alexandr Wang claiming it matches OpenAI's GPT-5.5 on undisclosed benchmarks while still in training and consuming roughly 10 times the compute of its predecessor. This brute-force scaling approach reflects Meta's broader $125–145 billion infrastructure push amid competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic. A September 2, 2026, Muse Spark 1.3 update included a public roadmap referencing larger models, though no official Watermelon launch timeline or public access details have been confirmed. Traders are monitoring for verifiable public release criteria, such as open beta availability, that would resolve the market, with any delays in training or verification likely to keep odds in flux.
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$947समाप्ति तिथि
30 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Meta's internal "Watermelon" model, positioned as the successor to the April 2026 Muse Spark release, has drawn trader attention due to July 2026 statements from Superintelligence Labs chief Alexandr Wang claiming it matches OpenAI's GPT-5.5 on undisclosed benchmarks while still in training and consuming roughly 10 times the compute of its predecessor. This brute-force scaling approach reflects Meta's broader $125–145 billion infrastructure push amid competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic. A September 2, 2026, Muse Spark 1.3 update included a public roadmap referencing larger models, though no official Watermelon launch timeline or public access details have been confirmed. Traders are monitoring for verifiable public release criteria, such as open beta availability, that would resolve the market, with any delays in training or verification likely to keep odds in flux.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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