Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cycle, with Opus 5 launching July 24 after Opus 4.8 in May, continues to shape trader expectations for the next flagship release. Recent leaks and routing reports point to potential Opus 5.2 testing, with prediction markets pricing an 81% chance of a launch in the week of September 24 and strong consensus on a September resolution overall. The company’s pattern of frequent upgrades—driven by competition from OpenAI’s GPT line, Google Gemini, and Meta models—combined with the early-September debut of Fable 5.1, supports the view of an imminent Opus refresh focused on coding, agentic workflows, and cost-performance gains. No official announcement or model card has appeared yet, leaving room for last-minute delays or surprise timing amid ongoing safety and capability refinements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$152,999 वॉल्यूम
17 सित, 2026
17 सितंबर
1%
20 सितंबर
4%
24 सितंबर
56%
27 सितंबर
71%
30 सितंबर
81%
31 अक्टूबर
98%
31 दिसंबर
98%
$152,999 वॉल्यूम
17 सितंबर
$10,580 वॉल्यूम
1%
20 सितंबर
$6,373 वॉल्यूम
4%
24 सितंबर
$4,415 वॉल्यूम
56%
27 सितंबर
$3,563 वॉल्यूम
71%
30 सितंबर
$67,802 वॉल्यूम
81%
31 अक्टूबर
$13,548 वॉल्यूम
98%
31 दिसंबर
$5,203 वॉल्यूम
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cycle, with Opus 5 launching July 24 after Opus 4.8 in May, continues to shape trader expectations for the next flagship release. Recent leaks and routing reports point to potential Opus 5.2 testing, with prediction markets pricing an 81% chance of a launch in the week of September 24 and strong consensus on a September resolution overall. The company’s pattern of frequent upgrades—driven by competition from OpenAI’s GPT line, Google Gemini, and Meta models—combined with the early-September debut of Fable 5.1, supports the view of an imminent Opus refresh focused on coding, agentic workflows, and cost-performance gains. No official announcement or model card has appeared yet, leaving room for last-minute delays or surprise timing amid ongoing safety and capability refinements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$152,999समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cycle, with Opus 5 launching July 24 after Opus 4.8 in May, continues to shape trader expectations for the next flagship release. Recent leaks and routing reports point to potential Opus 5.2 testing, with prediction markets pricing an 81% chance of a launch in the week of September 24 and strong consensus on a September resolution overall. The company’s pattern of frequent upgrades—driven by competition from OpenAI’s GPT line, Google Gemini, and Meta models—combined with the early-September debut of Fable 5.1, supports the view of an imminent Opus refresh focused on coding, agentic workflows, and cost-performance gains. No official announcement or model card has appeared yet, leaving room for last-minute delays or surprise timing amid ongoing safety and capability refinements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$152,999समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cycle, with Opus 5 launching July 24 after Opus 4.8 in May, continues to shape trader expectations for the next flagship release. Recent leaks and routing reports point to potential Opus 5.2 testing, with prediction markets pricing an 81% chance of a launch in the week of September 24 and strong consensus on a September resolution overall. The company’s pattern of frequent upgrades—driven by competition from OpenAI’s GPT line, Google Gemini, and Meta models—combined with the early-September debut of Fable 5.1, supports the view of an imminent Opus refresh focused on coding, agentic workflows, and cost-performance gains. No official announcement or model card has appeared yet, leaving room for last-minute delays or surprise timing amid ongoing safety and capability refinements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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