Anthropic's frequent Opus cadence, including the July 24 release of Opus 5 and September 1 launch of Fable 5.1, combined with unconfirmed rumors of an Opus 5.2 variant this week or by month-end, drives the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities around September 22–29. Traders weigh the lab's history of 3–6 week intervals between major updates against the absence of official announcements or system cards, while competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model timelines adds uncertainty. Recent platform integrations and safety-focused updates have not yet signaled a new flagship Opus, leaving resolution dependent on any imminent benchmark leaks or API identifiers that could shift the current 82% implied chance of a release near September 24.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया25 सितंबर 16%
30 सितंबर 14%
24 सितंबर 13%
30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं 12%
नया
नया
17 सित, 2026
17 सितंबर
3%
18 सितंबर
6%
19 सितंबर
1%
20 सितंबर
5%
21 सितंबर
9%
22 सितंबर
9%
23 सितंबर
9%
24 सितंबर
13%
25 सितंबर
16%
26 सितंबर
4%
27 सितंबर
3%
28 सितंबर
7%
29 सितंबर
7%
30 सितंबर
14%
30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं
12%
25 सितंबर 16%
30 सितंबर 14%
24 सितंबर 13%
30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं 12%
नया
नया
17 सित, 2026
17 सितंबर
$478 वॉल्यूम
3%
18 सितंबर
$39 वॉल्यूम
6%
19 सितंबर
$486 वॉल्यूम
1%
20 सितंबर
$507 वॉल्यूम
5%
21 सितंबर
$39 वॉल्यूम
9%
22 सितंबर
$39 वॉल्यूम
9%
23 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
9%
24 सितंबर
$119 वॉल्यूम
13%
25 सितंबर
$60 वॉल्यूम
16%
26 सितंबर
$486 वॉल्यूम
4%
27 सितंबर
$486 वॉल्यूम
3%
28 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
7%
29 सितंबर
$102 वॉल्यूम
7%
30 सितंबर
$139 वॉल्यूम
14%
30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं
$139 वॉल्यूम
12%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's frequent Opus cadence, including the July 24 release of Opus 5 and September 1 launch of Fable 5.1, combined with unconfirmed rumors of an Opus 5.2 variant this week or by month-end, drives the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities around September 22–29. Traders weigh the lab's history of 3–6 week intervals between major updates against the absence of official announcements or system cards, while competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model timelines adds uncertainty. Recent platform integrations and safety-focused updates have not yet signaled a new flagship Opus, leaving resolution dependent on any imminent benchmark leaks or API identifiers that could shift the current 82% implied chance of a release near September 24.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,387समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's frequent Opus cadence, including the July 24 release of Opus 5 and September 1 launch of Fable 5.1, combined with unconfirmed rumors of an Opus 5.2 variant this week or by month-end, drives the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities around September 22–29. Traders weigh the lab's history of 3–6 week intervals between major updates against the absence of official announcements or system cards, while competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model timelines adds uncertainty. Recent platform integrations and safety-focused updates have not yet signaled a new flagship Opus, leaving resolution dependent on any imminent benchmark leaks or API identifiers that could shift the current 82% implied chance of a release near September 24.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$3,387समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's frequent Opus cadence, including the July 24 release of Opus 5 and September 1 launch of Fable 5.1, combined with unconfirmed rumors of an Opus 5.2 variant this week or by month-end, drives the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities around September 22–29. Traders weigh the lab's history of 3–6 week intervals between major updates against the absence of official announcements or system cards, while competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google model timelines adds uncertainty. Recent platform integrations and safety-focused updates have not yet signaled a new flagship Opus, leaving resolution dependent on any imminent benchmark leaks or API identifiers that could shift the current 82% implied chance of a release near September 24.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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