John Swinney holds a near-certain position as the next First Minister due to his incumbency as SNP leader and current officeholder, reinforced by the party's performance in the May 2026 Holyrood election. Traders view his renomination in the Scottish Parliament as the most probable outcome, given limited immediate internal party opposition and his established parliamentary support ahead of the formal vote later this month. While challengers including Anas Sarwar, Alex Cole-Hamilton, and others register only marginal implied probabilities, scenarios such as an unexpected resignation, major scandal, or sudden coalition breakdown could still shift dynamics, though no such developments have emerged to date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाJohn Swinney 99.6%
Alex Cole-Hamilton <1%
Malcolm Offord <1%
Russell Findlay <1%
$11,060 वॉल्यूम
$11,060 वॉल्यूम
7 मई, 2026
John Swinney
100%
Alex Cole-Hamilton
1%
Malcolm Offord
1%
Russell Findlay
1%
Anas Sarwar
<1%
Ross Greer
<1%
Gillian Mackay
<1%
John Swinney 99.6%
Alex Cole-Hamilton <1%
Malcolm Offord <1%
Russell Findlay <1%
$11,060 वॉल्यूम
$11,060 वॉल्यूम
7 मई, 2026
John Swinney
$3,218 वॉल्यूम
100%
Alex Cole-Hamilton
$1,346 वॉल्यूम
1%
Malcolm Offord
$912 वॉल्यूम
1%
Russell Findlay
$2,554 वॉल्यूम
1%
Anas Sarwar
$1,945 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Ross Greer
$515 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Gillian Mackay
$570 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Swinney holds a near-certain position as the next First Minister due to his incumbency as SNP leader and current officeholder, reinforced by the party's performance in the May 2026 Holyrood election. Traders view his renomination in the Scottish Parliament as the most probable outcome, given limited immediate internal party opposition and his established parliamentary support ahead of the formal vote later this month. While challengers including Anas Sarwar, Alex Cole-Hamilton, and others register only marginal implied probabilities, scenarios such as an unexpected resignation, major scandal, or sudden coalition breakdown could still shift dynamics, though no such developments have emerged to date.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,060समाप्ति तिथि
7 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Swinney holds a near-certain position as the next First Minister due to his incumbency as SNP leader and current officeholder, reinforced by the party's performance in the May 2026 Holyrood election. Traders view his renomination in the Scottish Parliament as the most probable outcome, given limited immediate internal party opposition and his established parliamentary support ahead of the formal vote later this month. While challengers including Anas Sarwar, Alex Cole-Hamilton, and others register only marginal implied probabilities, scenarios such as an unexpected resignation, major scandal, or sudden coalition breakdown could still shift dynamics, though no such developments have emerged to date.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$11,060समाप्ति तिथि
7 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...John Swinney holds a near-certain position as the next First Minister due to his incumbency as SNP leader and current officeholder, reinforced by the party's performance in the May 2026 Holyrood election. Traders view his renomination in the Scottish Parliament as the most probable outcome, given limited immediate internal party opposition and his established parliamentary support ahead of the formal vote later this month. While challengers including Anas Sarwar, Alex Cole-Hamilton, and others register only marginal implied probabilities, scenarios such as an unexpected resignation, major scandal, or sudden coalition breakdown could still shift dynamics, though no such developments have emerged to date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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