Andy Burnham leads trader consensus at 55.8 percent, driven by his record as Mayor of Greater Manchester, strong Labour grassroots support, and repeated speculation about a future leadership transition. The 15.5 percent probability assigned to no change in 2026 aligns with the fixed term of the current Parliament and the absence of an imminent general election. Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner each sit at 8.5 percent on the back of their senior cabinet positions and visibility in policy debates. Lower odds for Conservative figures reflect the party's post-2024 position, while the remaining candidates draw limited support tied to specific policy niches or regional profiles. Recent parliamentary sessions and local government outcomes have sustained these relative standings without introducing decisive new catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाएंडी बर्नहैम 55.8%
2026 में कोई अगला पीएम नहीं 16%
वेस स्ट्रीटिंग 9%
एंजेला रेयनर 9%
$7,443,445 वॉल्यूम
$7,443,445 वॉल्यूम
एंडी बर्नहैम
56%
2026 में कोई अगला पीएम नहीं
16%
वेस स्ट्रीटिंग
9%
एंजेला रेयनर
9%
एड मिलिबैंड
7%
अल कार्न्स
2%
नाइजेल फराज
1%
शबाना महमूद
1%
यवेट कूपर
1%
लूसी पॉवेल
<1%
रूपर्ट लोवे
<1%
रेचेल रीव्स
<1%
केमी बैडेनोच
<1%
बोरिस जॉनसन
<1%
एड डेवी
<1%
ब्रिजेट फिलिप्सन
<1%
रॉबर्ट जेन्रिक
<1%
डेविड लैमी
<1%
जेम्स क्लेवरली
<1%
डैरेन जोन्स
<1%
जॉन हीली
<1%
एंडी बर्नहैम 55.8%
2026 में कोई अगला पीएम नहीं 16%
वेस स्ट्रीटिंग 9%
एंजेला रेयनर 9%
$7,443,445 वॉल्यूम
$7,443,445 वॉल्यूम
एंडी बर्नहैम
56%
2026 में कोई अगला पीएम नहीं
16%
वेस स्ट्रीटिंग
9%
एंजेला रेयनर
9%
एड मिलिबैंड
7%
अल कार्न्स
2%
नाइजेल फराज
1%
शबाना महमूद
1%
यवेट कूपर
1%
लूसी पॉवेल
<1%
रूपर्ट लोवे
<1%
रेचेल रीव्स
<1%
केमी बैडेनोच
<1%
बोरिस जॉनसन
<1%
एड डेवी
<1%
ब्रिजेट फिलिप्सन
<1%
रॉबर्ट जेन्रिक
<1%
डेविड लैमी
<1%
जेम्स क्लेवरली
<1%
डैरेन जोन्स
<1%
जॉन हीली
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Andy Burnham leads trader consensus at 55.8 percent, driven by his record as Mayor of Greater Manchester, strong Labour grassroots support, and repeated speculation about a future leadership transition. The 15.5 percent probability assigned to no change in 2026 aligns with the fixed term of the current Parliament and the absence of an imminent general election. Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner each sit at 8.5 percent on the back of their senior cabinet positions and visibility in policy debates. Lower odds for Conservative figures reflect the party's post-2024 position, while the remaining candidates draw limited support tied to specific policy niches or regional profiles. Recent parliamentary sessions and local government outcomes have sustained these relative standings without introducing decisive new catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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