In New York's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary set for June 23, trader consensus heavily favors former NYC Comptroller Brad Lander at 83% implied probability over incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman at 20%, driven by a recent pro-Goldman super PAC poll from early May showing Lander leading 47%-42% among likely voters. Lander's edge stems from strong progressive endorsements, including NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani and the Sunrise Movement, appealing to the district's activist base across Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn amid DSA's high favorability. Goldman counters with self-funding millions, union rallies, and Gov. Kathy Hochul support, but recent city council results suggest limits to progressive sway; minor candidates trail far behind as the race consolidates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाBrad Lander 83%
Dan Goldman 19%
Cameron Kasky <1%
Alexa Avilés <1%
$11,965 वॉल्यूम
$11,965 वॉल्यूम
Brad Lander
83%
Dan Goldman
19%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Alexa Avilés
<1%
Yuh-Line Niou
<1%
Brad Lander 83%
Dan Goldman 19%
Cameron Kasky <1%
Alexa Avilés <1%
$11,965 वॉल्यूम
$11,965 वॉल्यूम
Brad Lander
83%
Dan Goldman
19%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Alexa Avilés
<1%
Yuh-Line Niou
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In New York's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary set for June 23, trader consensus heavily favors former NYC Comptroller Brad Lander at 83% implied probability over incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman at 20%, driven by a recent pro-Goldman super PAC poll from early May showing Lander leading 47%-42% among likely voters. Lander's edge stems from strong progressive endorsements, including NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani and the Sunrise Movement, appealing to the district's activist base across Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn amid DSA's high favorability. Goldman counters with self-funding millions, union rallies, and Gov. Kathy Hochul support, but recent city council results suggest limits to progressive sway; minor candidates trail far behind as the race consolidates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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