Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley's commanding Q1 2026 fundraising—nearly $4 million raised and $2.8 million cash on hand versus Republican state Sen. Peter Oberacker's $787,000—bolsters his hold on New York's battleground 19th Congressional District, driving trader consensus to price the Democratic Party above 75% following late April FEC reports. Forecasters including Cook Political Report updated NY-19 to Lean Democratic as of May 14, citing Riley's incumbency advantage after his narrow 2024 flip and a divided GOP primary on June 23 between Oberacker and Alexander Portelli that risks resource splits. No district polls exist, but New York generic ballot trends favor Democrats amid midterm dynamics, with the November 3 general election as the resolution date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY-19 House Election Winner
NY-19 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
71%
Republican Party
20%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$224 वॉल्यूम
71%
Republican Party
$50 वॉल्यूम
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley's commanding Q1 2026 fundraising—nearly $4 million raised and $2.8 million cash on hand versus Republican state Sen. Peter Oberacker's $787,000—bolsters his hold on New York's battleground 19th Congressional District, driving trader consensus to price the Democratic Party above 75% following late April FEC reports. Forecasters including Cook Political Report updated NY-19 to Lean Democratic as of May 14, citing Riley's incumbency advantage after his narrow 2024 flip and a divided GOP primary on June 23 between Oberacker and Alexander Portelli that risks resource splits. No district polls exist, but New York generic ballot trends favor Democrats amid midterm dynamics, with the November 3 general election as the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$274समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley's commanding Q1 2026 fundraising—nearly $4 million raised and $2.8 million cash on hand versus Republican state Sen. Peter Oberacker's $787,000—bolsters his hold on New York's battleground 19th Congressional District, driving trader consensus to price the Democratic Party above 75% following late April FEC reports. Forecasters including Cook Political Report updated NY-19 to Lean Democratic as of May 14, citing Riley's incumbency advantage after his narrow 2024 flip and a divided GOP primary on June 23 between Oberacker and Alexander Portelli that risks resource splits. No district polls exist, but New York generic ballot trends favor Democrats amid midterm dynamics, with the November 3 general election as the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$274समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley's commanding Q1 2026 fundraising—nearly $4 million raised and $2.8 million cash on hand versus Republican state Sen. Peter Oberacker's $787,000—bolsters his hold on New York's battleground 19th Congressional District, driving trader consensus to price the Democratic Party above 75% following late April FEC reports. Forecasters including Cook Political Report updated NY-19 to Lean Democratic as of May 14, citing Riley's incumbency advantage after his narrow 2024 flip and a divided GOP primary on June 23 between Oberacker and Alexander Portelli that risks resource splits. No district polls exist, but New York generic ballot trends favor Democrats amid midterm dynamics, with the November 3 general election as the resolution date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न