Trader consensus assigns a 92.5% implied probability to the Democratic Party winning Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Gabe Amo's commanding position after his 2024 general election victory over Republican Allen Waters by a wide margin in this solidly Democratic Providence-area district. No Republican challenger has declared candidacy as of mid-May 2026, with primaries still months away in September, underscoring the seat's safe status amid Rhode Island's partisan voting patterns favoring Democrats. Absent major developments like a high-profile GOP recruit, Amo scandal or retirement, health issues, legal challenges, or an overwhelming national Republican midterm wave, the market expects Amo's renomination and reelection.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाRI-01 House Election Winner
RI-01 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,462 वॉल्यूम
93%
Republican Party
$909 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus assigns a 92.5% implied probability to the Democratic Party winning Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Gabe Amo's commanding position after his 2024 general election victory over Republican Allen Waters by a wide margin in this solidly Democratic Providence-area district. No Republican challenger has declared candidacy as of mid-May 2026, with primaries still months away in September, underscoring the seat's safe status amid Rhode Island's partisan voting patterns favoring Democrats. Absent major developments like a high-profile GOP recruit, Amo scandal or retirement, health issues, legal challenges, or an overwhelming national Republican midterm wave, the market expects Amo's renomination and reelection.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,371समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus assigns a 92.5% implied probability to the Democratic Party winning Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Gabe Amo's commanding position after his 2024 general election victory over Republican Allen Waters by a wide margin in this solidly Democratic Providence-area district. No Republican challenger has declared candidacy as of mid-May 2026, with primaries still months away in September, underscoring the seat's safe status amid Rhode Island's partisan voting patterns favoring Democrats. Absent major developments like a high-profile GOP recruit, Amo scandal or retirement, health issues, legal challenges, or an overwhelming national Republican midterm wave, the market expects Amo's renomination and reelection.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$4,371समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus assigns a 92.5% implied probability to the Democratic Party winning Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Gabe Amo's commanding position after his 2024 general election victory over Republican Allen Waters by a wide margin in this solidly Democratic Providence-area district. No Republican challenger has declared candidacy as of mid-May 2026, with primaries still months away in September, underscoring the seat's safe status amid Rhode Island's partisan voting patterns favoring Democrats. Absent major developments like a high-profile GOP recruit, Amo scandal or retirement, health issues, legal challenges, or an overwhelming national Republican midterm wave, the market expects Amo's renomination and reelection.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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