Supreme Court justices voiced strong skepticism during April 1 oral arguments in Trump v. Barbara and related challenges to President Trump's Executive Order restricting birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment's Citizenship Clause, signaling likely invalidation consistent with nationwide injunctions from lower courts since the order's January 2025 issuance. The 1898 precedent of United States v. Wong Kim Ark, affirming citizenship for those born on U.S. soil regardless of parental status, underpins challengers' position across multiple lawsuits by civil rights groups and states. President Trump's recent prediction that the Court will strike down the order reinforces trader consensus at 90.8% implied probability for "Yes," though a final ruling remains pending this term with potential for late developments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$121,523 वॉल्यूम
$121,523 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
$121,523 वॉल्यूम
$121,523 वॉल्यूम
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” may not be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the order, in whole, is unconstitutional or cannot lawfully take effect, or that the order cannot be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States.
Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the order may lawfully be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case clearly and finally permits the order to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Executive Order is withdrawn prior to any qualifying Supreme Court ruling on the order, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” may not be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the order, in whole, is unconstitutional or cannot lawfully take effect, or that the order cannot be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States.
Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the order may lawfully be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case clearly and finally permits the order to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Executive Order is withdrawn prior to any qualifying Supreme Court ruling on the order, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Supreme Court justices voiced strong skepticism during April 1 oral arguments in Trump v. Barbara and related challenges to President Trump's Executive Order restricting birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment's Citizenship Clause, signaling likely invalidation consistent with nationwide injunctions from lower courts since the order's January 2025 issuance. The 1898 precedent of United States v. Wong Kim Ark, affirming citizenship for those born on U.S. soil regardless of parental status, underpins challengers' position across multiple lawsuits by civil rights groups and states. President Trump's recent prediction that the Court will strike down the order reinforces trader consensus at 90.8% implied probability for "Yes," though a final ruling remains pending this term with potential for late developments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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