USDA-APHIS and state agencies continue aggressive containment of the New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak that reached Texas in June 2026, with dozens of confirmed animal cases concentrated in Texas and isolated detections in New Mexico. Primary drivers of low trader-implied odds for a federal national emergency declaration include the absence of widespread infestation, zero new U.S. detections in recent monitoring weeks, and reliance on proven sterile insect technique releases, quarantines, movement controls, and expanded surveillance via drones and traps. CDC reports very low public risk with no locally acquired human cases, while historical precedent of 1960s eradication supports model consensus that current measures can suppress spread without escalating to national emergency status. Key upcoming factors include ongoing sterile fly production expansions, phased port reopenings, and infested zone releases that could further stabilize conditions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाScrewworm National Emergency declared by...?
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
नया
31 दिस, 2026
31 अक्टूबर
43%
December 31
46%
$1,880 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टूबर
$13 वॉल्यूम
43%
December 31
$0 वॉल्यूम
46%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.USDA-APHIS and state agencies continue aggressive containment of the New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak that reached Texas in June 2026, with dozens of confirmed animal cases concentrated in Texas and isolated detections in New Mexico. Primary drivers of low trader-implied odds for a federal national emergency declaration include the absence of widespread infestation, zero new U.S. detections in recent monitoring weeks, and reliance on proven sterile insect technique releases, quarantines, movement controls, and expanded surveillance via drones and traps. CDC reports very low public risk with no locally acquired human cases, while historical precedent of 1960s eradication supports model consensus that current measures can suppress spread without escalating to national emergency status. Key upcoming factors include ongoing sterile fly production expansions, phased port reopenings, and infested zone releases that could further stabilize conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,880समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.USDA-APHIS and state agencies continue aggressive containment of the New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak that reached Texas in June 2026, with dozens of confirmed animal cases concentrated in Texas and isolated detections in New Mexico. Primary drivers of low trader-implied odds for a federal national emergency declaration include the absence of widespread infestation, zero new U.S. detections in recent monitoring weeks, and reliance on proven sterile insect technique releases, quarantines, movement controls, and expanded surveillance via drones and traps. CDC reports very low public risk with no locally acquired human cases, while historical precedent of 1960s eradication supports model consensus that current measures can suppress spread without escalating to national emergency status. Key upcoming factors include ongoing sterile fly production expansions, phased port reopenings, and infested zone releases that could further stabilize conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$1,880समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...USDA-APHIS and state agencies continue aggressive containment of the New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak that reached Texas in June 2026, with dozens of confirmed animal cases concentrated in Texas and isolated detections in New Mexico. Primary drivers of low trader-implied odds for a federal national emergency declaration include the absence of widespread infestation, zero new U.S. detections in recent monitoring weeks, and reliance on proven sterile insect technique releases, quarantines, movement controls, and expanded surveillance via drones and traps. CDC reports very low public risk with no locally acquired human cases, while historical precedent of 1960s eradication supports model consensus that current measures can suppress spread without escalating to national emergency status. Key upcoming factors include ongoing sterile fly production expansions, phased port reopenings, and infested zone releases that could further stabilize conditions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न