**Strong pre-release tracking and an on-track Friday performance have driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a $7M–$8M domestic opening for the Focus Features adaptation.** Early estimates placed the wide release (2,545 theaters) in the $5–8M range, with Friday’s $3.3M debut—solid for a period romantic drama—pushing weekend projections to $6.7M–$7.25M. Star power from Daisy Edgar-Jones and a favorable critical reception for the Georgia Oakley-directed update of Jane Austen’s novel have supported steady interest despite competition from larger titles like *Street Fighter*. Historical precedent for Austen adaptations and the film’s modest $25M budget further anchor expectations in this band. An upset below $6M would require sharply weaker word-of-mouth or front-loaded attendance, while a push above $8M remains unlikely absent exceptional audience legs.