U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson's commanding 70.5% implied probability in the South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary stems from a mid-April Mason-Dixon poll of 500 likely voters showing him at 34%, just shy of the 35% threshold needed to avoid a July 28 runoff after the June 2 ballot. His lead widened six points from October amid the highest 47% favorability rating, outpacing incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden (17%, down 10 points), House Speaker Jon Hansen (18% surge), and businessman Toby Doeden (17%, stable). Recent debates through early May have reinforced trader consensus on Johnson's momentum and vote consolidation, pricing Doeden second at 17.5% while Hansen and Rhoden trail below 6% as the primary nears.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाडस्टी जॉनसन 74%
टोबी डोएडेन 19%
जॉन हैनसन 5.3%
लैरी रोडेन 3.6%
$57,845 वॉल्यूम
$57,845 वॉल्यूम
2 जून, 2026
डस्टी जॉनसन
67%
टोबी डोएडेन
18%
जॉन हैनसन
5%
लैरी रोडेन
4%
डस्टी जॉनसन 74%
टोबी डोएडेन 19%
जॉन हैनसन 5.3%
लैरी रोडेन 3.6%
$57,845 वॉल्यूम
$57,845 वॉल्यूम
2 जून, 2026
डस्टी जॉनसन
$16,023 वॉल्यूम
67%
टोबी डोएडेन
$18,766 वॉल्यूम
18%
जॉन हैनसन
$7,678 वॉल्यूम
5%
लैरी रोडेन
$15,378 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson's commanding 70.5% implied probability in the South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary stems from a mid-April Mason-Dixon poll of 500 likely voters showing him at 34%, just shy of the 35% threshold needed to avoid a July 28 runoff after the June 2 ballot. His lead widened six points from October amid the highest 47% favorability rating, outpacing incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden (17%, down 10 points), House Speaker Jon Hansen (18% surge), and businessman Toby Doeden (17%, stable). Recent debates through early May have reinforced trader consensus on Johnson's momentum and vote consolidation, pricing Doeden second at 17.5% while Hansen and Rhoden trail below 6% as the primary nears.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$57,845समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson's commanding 70.5% implied probability in the South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary stems from a mid-April Mason-Dixon poll of 500 likely voters showing him at 34%, just shy of the 35% threshold needed to avoid a July 28 runoff after the June 2 ballot. His lead widened six points from October amid the highest 47% favorability rating, outpacing incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden (17%, down 10 points), House Speaker Jon Hansen (18% surge), and businessman Toby Doeden (17%, stable). Recent debates through early May have reinforced trader consensus on Johnson's momentum and vote consolidation, pricing Doeden second at 17.5% while Hansen and Rhoden trail below 6% as the primary nears.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$57,845समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson's commanding 70.5% implied probability in the South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary stems from a mid-April Mason-Dixon poll of 500 likely voters showing him at 34%, just shy of the 35% threshold needed to avoid a July 28 runoff after the June 2 ballot. His lead widened six points from October amid the highest 47% favorability rating, outpacing incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden (17%, down 10 points), House Speaker Jon Hansen (18% surge), and businessman Toby Doeden (17%, stable). Recent debates through early May have reinforced trader consensus on Johnson's momentum and vote consolidation, pricing Doeden second at 17.5% while Hansen and Rhoden trail below 6% as the primary nears.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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