SpaceX achieved a major milestone with Starship Flight 14 on September 28, 2026, reaching orbit for the first time and deploying 26 next-generation Starlink V3 satellites despite an early engine shutdown that shortened the mission. This success has accelerated preparations for Flight 15, which pairs Booster 22 with Ship 42 and targets a provisional NET of October 19 from Starbase’s Orbital Launch Pad 2. Traders are focused on the potential for the first mechanical tower catch of the upper stage using the “chopsticks” arms, a step toward full reuse that Elon Musk has estimated at 50-60% odds on the initial attempt. Hardware has completed cryo testing and chopstick simulations, with static-fire campaigns expected soon, though SpaceX has not issued an official date and FAA reviews remain a key variable.
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