The December 2025 release of EsDeeKid’s “4 Raws Remix” featuring Timothée Chalamet, complete with side-by-side footage in the official video, delivered the decisive blow to the masked-Liverpool-rapper alter-ego theory. That public collaboration, following Chalamet’s coy December radio tease that “all will be revealed in due time,” made clear the two are separate individuals and shifted trader consensus toward near-certainty that no confirmation will arrive by the June 30 deadline. With no subsequent statements, leaks, or chart-driven developments keeping the rumor alive, the 99 percent implied probability reflects the absence of any credible catalyst. An upset remains theoretically possible only through an abrupt, last-minute announcement, though nothing in the current promotional calendar or industry chatter suggests such a twist is imminent.