Recent Q2 2026 GDP growth of 1.5% annualized, combined with July payroll declines and 4.1% unemployment, has tempered expectations while New York Fed nowcasts place Q3 at 2.1–2.2% and Philadelphia Fed surveys project 2.5%. Sticky July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year keeps monetary policy on hold, supporting the closely matched 32% implied probability on ≥3.0% versus 26% on 2.0–2.5%. Traders weigh resilient business investment in AI-driven capex against softening consumer spending and leading-indicator weakness, creating sensitivity to upcoming August employment and inflation releases that could shift the balance between modest expansion and stronger rebound scenarios.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाQ3 2026 में अमेरिकी सकल घरेलू उत्पाद की वृद्धि?
Q3 2026 में अमेरिकी सकल घरेलू उत्पाद की वृद्धि?
≥3.0% 32%
2.0–2.5% 26%
2.5–3.0% 21%
1.0–1.5% 8.1%
$18,694 वॉल्यूम
$18,694 वॉल्यूम
29 अक्टू, 2026
<0.5%
4%
0.5–1.0%
4%
1.0–1.5%
8%
1.5–2.0%
8%
2.0–2.5%
26%
2.5–3.0%
21%
≥3.0%
32%
≥3.0% 32%
2.0–2.5% 26%
2.5–3.0% 21%
1.0–1.5% 8.1%
$18,694 वॉल्यूम
$18,694 वॉल्यूम
29 अक्टू, 2026
<0.5%
$760 वॉल्यूम
4%
0.5–1.0%
$470 वॉल्यूम
4%
1.0–1.5%
$546 वॉल्यूम
8%
1.5–2.0%
$599 वॉल्यूम
8%
2.0–2.5%
$1,743 वॉल्यूम
26%
2.5–3.0%
$3,182 वॉल्यूम
21%
≥3.0%
$11,393 वॉल्यूम
32%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Q2 2026 GDP growth of 1.5% annualized, combined with July payroll declines and 4.1% unemployment, has tempered expectations while New York Fed nowcasts place Q3 at 2.1–2.2% and Philadelphia Fed surveys project 2.5%. Sticky July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year keeps monetary policy on hold, supporting the closely matched 32% implied probability on ≥3.0% versus 26% on 2.0–2.5%. Traders weigh resilient business investment in AI-driven capex against softening consumer spending and leading-indicator weakness, creating sensitivity to upcoming August employment and inflation releases that could shift the balance between modest expansion and stronger rebound scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,694समाप्ति तिथि
29 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Q2 2026 GDP growth of 1.5% annualized, combined with July payroll declines and 4.1% unemployment, has tempered expectations while New York Fed nowcasts place Q3 at 2.1–2.2% and Philadelphia Fed surveys project 2.5%. Sticky July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year keeps monetary policy on hold, supporting the closely matched 32% implied probability on ≥3.0% versus 26% on 2.0–2.5%. Traders weigh resilient business investment in AI-driven capex against softening consumer spending and leading-indicator weakness, creating sensitivity to upcoming August employment and inflation releases that could shift the balance between modest expansion and stronger rebound scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
वॉल्यूम
$18,694समाप्ति तिथि
29 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Q2 2026 GDP growth of 1.5% annualized, combined with July payroll declines and 4.1% unemployment, has tempered expectations while New York Fed nowcasts place Q3 at 2.1–2.2% and Philadelphia Fed surveys project 2.5%. Sticky July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year keeps monetary policy on hold, supporting the closely matched 32% implied probability on ≥3.0% versus 26% on 2.0–2.5%. Traders weigh resilient business investment in AI-driven capex against softening consumer spending and leading-indicator weakness, creating sensitivity to upcoming August employment and inflation releases that could shift the balance between modest expansion and stronger rebound scenarios.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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