Redistricting has transformed Utah's 1st congressional district into a compact, Salt Lake City-centered seat with a D+12 Partisan Voter Index, shifting it from longstanding Republican control to a solidly Democratic position on the new map. The open seat, following the prior incumbent's move to another district, pairs with Democratic nominee Ben McAdams's primary victory and prior congressional experience against a lesser-known Republican challenger. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the Democratic Party at a commanding implied probability. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require an unexpected national Republican surge, candidate health issues, or major scandal in the final months before the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाUT -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
UT -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$36,957 वॉल्यूम
$36,957 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
6%
$36,957 वॉल्यूम
$36,957 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$5,600 वॉल्यूम
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$31,357 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has transformed Utah's 1st congressional district into a compact, Salt Lake City-centered seat with a D+12 Partisan Voter Index, shifting it from longstanding Republican control to a solidly Democratic position on the new map. The open seat, following the prior incumbent's move to another district, pairs with Democratic nominee Ben McAdams's primary victory and prior congressional experience against a lesser-known Republican challenger. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the Democratic Party at a commanding implied probability. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require an unexpected national Republican surge, candidate health issues, or major scandal in the final months before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$36,957समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has transformed Utah's 1st congressional district into a compact, Salt Lake City-centered seat with a D+12 Partisan Voter Index, shifting it from longstanding Republican control to a solidly Democratic position on the new map. The open seat, following the prior incumbent's move to another district, pairs with Democratic nominee Ben McAdams's primary victory and prior congressional experience against a lesser-known Republican challenger. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the Democratic Party at a commanding implied probability. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require an unexpected national Republican surge, candidate health issues, or major scandal in the final months before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$36,957समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has transformed Utah's 1st congressional district into a compact, Salt Lake City-centered seat with a D+12 Partisan Voter Index, shifting it from longstanding Republican control to a solidly Democratic position on the new map. The open seat, following the prior incumbent's move to another district, pairs with Democratic nominee Ben McAdams's primary victory and prior congressional experience against a lesser-known Republican challenger. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the Democratic Party at a commanding implied probability. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require an unexpected national Republican surge, candidate health issues, or major scandal in the final months before the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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