Utah’s newly drawn 3rd congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 41-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary by defeating Phil Lyman 68-32 percent, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Kent Udell and minor-party candidates face structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Traders assign the Republican Party a 93.5 percent implied probability because the seat’s voting patterns, fundraising advantages, and lack of competitive polling leave few realistic paths for an upset absent a major unforeseen development such as a candidate withdrawal or late scandal.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाUT-03 House Election Winner
UT-03 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$4,448 वॉल्यूम
94%
Democratic Party
$2,432 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s newly drawn 3rd congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 41-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary by defeating Phil Lyman 68-32 percent, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Kent Udell and minor-party candidates face structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Traders assign the Republican Party a 93.5 percent implied probability because the seat’s voting patterns, fundraising advantages, and lack of competitive polling leave few realistic paths for an upset absent a major unforeseen development such as a candidate withdrawal or late scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,879समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s newly drawn 3rd congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 41-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary by defeating Phil Lyman 68-32 percent, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Kent Udell and minor-party candidates face structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Traders assign the Republican Party a 93.5 percent implied probability because the seat’s voting patterns, fundraising advantages, and lack of competitive polling leave few realistic paths for an upset absent a major unforeseen development such as a candidate withdrawal or late scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$6,879समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah’s newly drawn 3rd congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 41-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary by defeating Phil Lyman 68-32 percent, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Kent Udell and minor-party candidates face structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Traders assign the Republican Party a 93.5 percent implied probability because the seat’s voting patterns, fundraising advantages, and lack of competitive polling leave few realistic paths for an upset absent a major unforeseen development such as a candidate withdrawal or late scandal.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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