Incumbent Sen. Mark Warner's 25-point leads over all tested Republican challengers in a May 1-5 poll of 1,047 likely Virginia voters underpin trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic win in the 2026 U.S. Senate race. Virginia's Democratic dominance in statewide contests since 2017—including Gov. Abigail Spanberger's 15-point 2025 victory—bolsters Warner's incumbency advantage amid a weak GOP primary field featuring candidates like Bert Mizusawa and Kim Farington ahead of the August 4 primaries. Though probabilities exceed 90%, shifts could arise from a stronger Republican nominee, national midterm dynamics favoring the GOP's Senate majority efforts, health issues, scandals, or late polling swings before the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democrat
93%
Republican
6%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democrat
$7,930 वॉल्यूम
93%
Republican
$1,118 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Mark Warner's 25-point leads over all tested Republican challengers in a May 1-5 poll of 1,047 likely Virginia voters underpin trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic win in the 2026 U.S. Senate race. Virginia's Democratic dominance in statewide contests since 2017—including Gov. Abigail Spanberger's 15-point 2025 victory—bolsters Warner's incumbency advantage amid a weak GOP primary field featuring candidates like Bert Mizusawa and Kim Farington ahead of the August 4 primaries. Though probabilities exceed 90%, shifts could arise from a stronger Republican nominee, national midterm dynamics favoring the GOP's Senate majority efforts, health issues, scandals, or late polling swings before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,048समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Mark Warner's 25-point leads over all tested Republican challengers in a May 1-5 poll of 1,047 likely Virginia voters underpin trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic win in the 2026 U.S. Senate race. Virginia's Democratic dominance in statewide contests since 2017—including Gov. Abigail Spanberger's 15-point 2025 victory—bolsters Warner's incumbency advantage amid a weak GOP primary field featuring candidates like Bert Mizusawa and Kim Farington ahead of the August 4 primaries. Though probabilities exceed 90%, shifts could arise from a stronger Republican nominee, national midterm dynamics favoring the GOP's Senate majority efforts, health issues, scandals, or late polling swings before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$9,048समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Mark Warner's 25-point leads over all tested Republican challengers in a May 1-5 poll of 1,047 likely Virginia voters underpin trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic win in the 2026 U.S. Senate race. Virginia's Democratic dominance in statewide contests since 2017—including Gov. Abigail Spanberger's 15-point 2025 victory—bolsters Warner's incumbency advantage amid a weak GOP primary field featuring candidates like Bert Mizusawa and Kim Farington ahead of the August 4 primaries. Though probabilities exceed 90%, shifts could arise from a stronger Republican nominee, national midterm dynamics favoring the GOP's Senate majority efforts, health issues, scandals, or late polling swings before the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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