Persistent El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific have suppressed Atlantic hurricane development through mid-August 2026, yielding only three named tropical storms—Arthur, Bertha, and Cristobal—none of which reached the 74 mph Saffir-Simpson threshold for hurricane status. Official NOAA updates maintain a below-normal seasonal outlook of 7–13 named storms and 2–6 hurricanes, citing reduced vertical wind shear and drier mid-level air that limit rapid intensification. With the climatological peak approaching in early September, trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (41%) to Dolly as the next system likely to organize and strengthen first, followed by Edouard (24.5%), while later names reflect uncertainty over steering patterns and model consensus from NHC and NOAA forecasts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 के तूफान के मौसम के लिए अटलांटिक में पहले तूफान का नाम क्या होगा?
2026 के तूफान के मौसम के लिए अटलांटिक में पहले तूफान का नाम क्या होगा?
डॉली 41%
एडुआर्ड 25%
फ़े 12%
इसाइयस 7.1%
नया
नया
1 दिस, 2026
क्रिस्टोबाल
2%
डॉली
41%
एडुआर्ड
25%
फ़े
12%
गोंजालो
5%
हन्ना
5%
इसाइयस
7%
जोसेफिन
5%
काइल
3%
लिया
3%
मार्को
5%
नाना
5%
ओमार
5%
पॉलिट
5%
रिने
5%
सैली
3%
टेडी
5%
विकी
4%
विल्फ्रेड
4%
अन्य
4%
डॉली 41%
एडुआर्ड 25%
फ़े 12%
इसाइयस 7.1%
नया
नया
1 दिस, 2026
क्रिस्टोबाल
$1,667 वॉल्यूम
2%
डॉली
$383 वॉल्यूम
41%
एडुआर्ड
$1,073 वॉल्यूम
25%
फ़े
$534 वॉल्यूम
12%
गोंजालो
$472 वॉल्यूम
5%
हन्ना
$98 वॉल्यूम
5%
इसाइयस
$350 वॉल्यूम
7%
जोसेफिन
$55 वॉल्यूम
5%
काइल
$94 वॉल्यूम
3%
लिया
$59 वॉल्यूम
3%
मार्को
$111 वॉल्यूम
5%
नाना
$51 वॉल्यूम
5%
ओमार
$67 वॉल्यूम
5%
पॉलिट
$71 वॉल्यूम
5%
रिने
$63 वॉल्यूम
5%
सैली
$131 वॉल्यूम
3%
टेडी
$63 वॉल्यूम
5%
विकी
$90 वॉल्यूम
4%
विल्फ्रेड
$118 वॉल्यूम
4%
अन्य
$63 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named.
All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml).
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. Persistent El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific have suppressed Atlantic hurricane development through mid-August 2026, yielding only three named tropical storms—Arthur, Bertha, and Cristobal—none of which reached the 74 mph Saffir-Simpson threshold for hurricane status. Official NOAA updates maintain a below-normal seasonal outlook of 7–13 named storms and 2–6 hurricanes, citing reduced vertical wind shear and drier mid-level air that limit rapid intensification. With the climatological peak approaching in early September, trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (41%) to Dolly as the next system likely to organize and strengthen first, followed by Edouard (24.5%), while later names reflect uncertainty over steering patterns and model consensus from NHC and NOAA forecasts.
This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named.
All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml).
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named.
All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml).
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 24, 2026, 12:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,615समाप्ति तिथि
2 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 24, 2026, 12:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named.
All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml).
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. Persistent El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific have suppressed Atlantic hurricane development through mid-August 2026, yielding only three named tropical storms—Arthur, Bertha, and Cristobal—none of which reached the 74 mph Saffir-Simpson threshold for hurricane status. Official NOAA updates maintain a below-normal seasonal outlook of 7–13 named storms and 2–6 hurricanes, citing reduced vertical wind shear and drier mid-level air that limit rapid intensification. With the climatological peak approaching in early September, trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (41%) to Dolly as the next system likely to organize and strengthen first, followed by Edouard (24.5%), while later names reflect uncertainty over steering patterns and model consensus from NHC and NOAA forecasts.
This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named.
All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml).
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named.
All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml).
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
वॉल्यूम
$5,615समाप्ति तिथि
2 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 24, 2026, 12:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific have suppressed Atlantic hurricane development through mid-August 2026, yielding only three named tropical storms—Arthur, Bertha, and Cristobal—none of which reached the 74 mph Saffir-Simpson threshold for hurricane status. Official NOAA updates maintain a below-normal seasonal outlook of 7–13 named storms and 2–6 hurricanes, citing reduced vertical wind shear and drier mid-level air that limit rapid intensification. With the climatological peak approaching in early September, trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (41%) to Dolly as the next system likely to organize and strengthen first, followed by Edouard (24.5%), while later names reflect uncertainty over steering patterns and model consensus from NHC and NOAA forecasts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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