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May 15 100.0%

Before May 13 <1%

May 13 <1%

May 14 <1%

Polymarket

$1,517,348 वॉल्यूम

May 15 100.0%

Before May 13 <1%

May 13 <1%

May 14 <1%

Polymarket

$1,517,348 वॉल्यूम

Before May 13

$8,448 वॉल्यूम

No

May 13

$8,390 वॉल्यूम

No

May 14

$51,009 वॉल्यूम

No

May 15

$110,236 वॉल्यूम

Yes

May 16

$52,534 वॉल्यूम

No

May 17

$12,104 वॉल्यूम

No

May 18

$3,024 वॉल्यूम

No

18 मई के बाद

$1,270,452 वॉल्यूम

नहीं

18 मई तक कोई यात्रा नहीं

$1,152 वॉल्यूम

नहीं

This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time. A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China. If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”. If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's state visit to China, spanning May 13-15, concluded today with his confirmed departure from Beijing Capital International Airport aboard Air Force One following bilateral summit meetings with President Xi Jinping on trade, Iran policy, and reciprocal visits. Live footage and official White House scheduling captured the exit after a working lunch and departure ceremony, aligning precisely with the published itinerary originally set after a delay from April due to Middle East tensions. Trader consensus at near-certainty for May 15 reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of real-time diplomatic timelines, though slim odds persist for disruptions like flight delays, health events, or unscheduled extensions amid ongoing U.S.-China talks.

This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.

A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.

If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.

If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$1,517,348
समाप्ति तिथि
20 मई, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time. A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China. If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”. If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.

परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No

कोई विवाद नहीं

अंतिम परिणाम: No

This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time. A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China. If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”. If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's state visit to China, spanning May 13-15, concluded today with his confirmed departure from Beijing Capital International Airport aboard Air Force One following bilateral summit meetings with President Xi Jinping on trade, Iran policy, and reciprocal visits. Live footage and official White House scheduling captured the exit after a working lunch and departure ceremony, aligning precisely with the published itinerary originally set after a delay from April due to Middle East tensions. Trader consensus at near-certainty for May 15 reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of real-time diplomatic timelines, though slim odds persist for disruptions like flight delays, health events, or unscheduled extensions amid ongoing U.S.-China talks.

This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.

A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.

If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.

If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$1,517,348
समाप्ति तिथि
20 मई, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time. A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China. If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”. If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.

परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No

कोई विवाद नहीं

अंतिम परिणाम: No

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"When will Trump leave China?" Polymarket पर 9 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, May 15 100% (100¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद Before May 13 0% पर है।

आज तक, "When will Trump leave China?" ने कुल $1.5 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार May 11, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"When will Trump leave China?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 9 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"When will Trump leave China?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "May 15" 100% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "Before May 13" 0% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"When will Trump leave China?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।