Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset elections feature a fragmented field of roughly 38 submitted lists, with polls indicating that only about a dozen are likely to clear the 3.25 percent electoral threshold and secure seats in the 120-member parliament. Recent surveys show Yashar, led by Gadi Eisenkot, and Likud, under Benjamin Netanyahu, trading the top spot around 20–25 seats each, followed by Together (Naftali Bennett), The Democrats (Yair Golan), Yisrael Beiteinu, the ultra-Orthodox parties Shas and United Torah Judaism, Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism–Zehut, and Arab lists including the Joint List and Ra’am. Neither the Netanyahu-aligned bloc nor the main opposition grouping consistently reaches the 61 seats needed for a majority, leaving outcomes dependent on which smaller parties cross the threshold and post-election coalition negotiations. Surplus-vote agreements finalized in September and final candidate-list approvals due by September 27 add further variables ahead of the vote.