Apple’s long-standing annual iPhone cadence, with new models typically announced in September following Labor Day, underpins the 98.6% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Supply-chain reports from Pegatron and others confirm iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models remain on track for a September launch alongside the first foldable iPhone Ultra, even as the base iPhone 18 shifts to early 2027 due to memory and chip constraints. This split strategy reflects Apple’s growing lineup and prioritization of higher-margin devices without disrupting the flagship cadence. While component shortages could introduce minor delays or affect availability, no credible signals point to full cancellation or regulatory barriers that would push the entire series beyond 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया99% संभावना
$173,240 वॉल्यूम
$173,240 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
99% संभावना
$173,240 वॉल्यूम
$173,240 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s long-standing annual iPhone cadence, with new models typically announced in September following Labor Day, underpins the 98.6% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Supply-chain reports from Pegatron and others confirm iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models remain on track for a September launch alongside the first foldable iPhone Ultra, even as the base iPhone 18 shifts to early 2027 due to memory and chip constraints. This split strategy reflects Apple’s growing lineup and prioritization of higher-margin devices without disrupting the flagship cadence. While component shortages could introduce minor delays or affect availability, no credible signals point to full cancellation or regulatory barriers that would push the entire series beyond 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$173,240समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s long-standing annual iPhone cadence, with new models typically announced in September following Labor Day, underpins the 98.6% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Supply-chain reports from Pegatron and others confirm iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models remain on track for a September launch alongside the first foldable iPhone Ultra, even as the base iPhone 18 shifts to early 2027 due to memory and chip constraints. This split strategy reflects Apple’s growing lineup and prioritization of higher-margin devices without disrupting the flagship cadence. While component shortages could introduce minor delays or affect availability, no credible signals point to full cancellation or regulatory barriers that would push the entire series beyond 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$173,240समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple’s long-standing annual iPhone cadence, with new models typically announced in September following Labor Day, underpins the 98.6% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Supply-chain reports from Pegatron and others confirm iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models remain on track for a September launch alongside the first foldable iPhone Ultra, even as the base iPhone 18 shifts to early 2027 due to memory and chip constraints. This split strategy reflects Apple’s growing lineup and prioritization of higher-margin devices without disrupting the flagship cadence. While component shortages could introduce minor delays or affect availability, no credible signals point to full cancellation or regulatory barriers that would push the entire series beyond 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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