Recent observational data from the Global Carbon Project confirm global CO₂ emissions remain near 40–42 GtCO₂ annually, close to the rate underpinning the Climate Clock’s current July 22, 2029 deadline derived from the IPCC AR6 remaining carbon budget. No major revision to that budget or the Mercator Research Institute methodology is scheduled before late 2026, and quarterly clock updates have not triggered shifts exceeding the 30-day resolution threshold. This stability supports the 90.5% market-implied probability of no change. A significant new peer-reviewed assessment substantially revising the 1.5 °C carbon budget or an abrupt global emissions surge or plunge could still prompt an update.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या जलवायु घड़ी की 1.5 डिग्री सेल्सियस की समय सीमा... तक बदल जाएगी?
क्या जलवायु घड़ी की 1.5 डिग्री सेल्सियस की समय सीमा... तक बदल जाएगी?
10% संभावना
$13,521 वॉल्यूम
$13,521 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
10% संभावना
$13,521 वॉल्यूम
$13,521 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.Recent observational data from the Global Carbon Project confirm global CO₂ emissions remain near 40–42 GtCO₂ annually, close to the rate underpinning the Climate Clock’s current July 22, 2029 deadline derived from the IPCC AR6 remaining carbon budget. No major revision to that budget or the Mercator Research Institute methodology is scheduled before late 2026, and quarterly clock updates have not triggered shifts exceeding the 30-day resolution threshold. This stability supports the 90.5% market-implied probability of no change. A significant new peer-reviewed assessment substantially revising the 1.5 °C carbon budget or an abrupt global emissions surge or plunge could still prompt an update.
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 19, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,521समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 19, 2026, 6:40 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://climateclock.worldरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.Recent observational data from the Global Carbon Project confirm global CO₂ emissions remain near 40–42 GtCO₂ annually, close to the rate underpinning the Climate Clock’s current July 22, 2029 deadline derived from the IPCC AR6 remaining carbon budget. No major revision to that budget or the Mercator Research Institute methodology is scheduled before late 2026, and quarterly clock updates have not triggered shifts exceeding the 30-day resolution threshold. This stability supports the 90.5% market-implied probability of no change. A significant new peer-reviewed assessment substantially revising the 1.5 °C carbon budget or an abrupt global emissions surge or plunge could still prompt an update.
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
वॉल्यूम
$13,521समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 19, 2026, 6:40 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://climateclock.worldरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent observational data from the Global Carbon Project confirm global CO₂ emissions remain near 40–42 GtCO₂ annually, close to the rate underpinning the Climate Clock’s current July 22, 2029 deadline derived from the IPCC AR6 remaining carbon budget. No major revision to that budget or the Mercator Research Institute methodology is scheduled before late 2026, and quarterly clock updates have not triggered shifts exceeding the 30-day resolution threshold. This stability supports the 90.5% market-implied probability of no change. A significant new peer-reviewed assessment substantially revising the 1.5 °C carbon budget or an abrupt global emissions surge or plunge could still prompt an update.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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