Democratic prospects for regaining House control in the 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that articles of impeachment will pass before January 2029. Recent actions, including Rep. Al Green’s August 2026 resolution citing alleged constitutional violations in immigration enforcement by ICE and CBP, along with earlier filings by Rep. Shri Thanedar, illustrate sustained Democratic focus on executive accountability. Traders price in these dynamics alongside polling showing public support for scrutiny and historical patterns of opposition-led investigations once majorities shift, while noting that current Republican control keeps near-term passage unlikely. Resolution depends solely on a House majority vote, independent of Senate conviction.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
68% संभावना
$96,341 वॉल्यूम
$96,341 वॉल्यूम
19 जन, 2029
3.25% कमाएँ
हाँ
68% संभावना
$96,341 वॉल्यूम
$96,341 वॉल्यूम
19 जन, 2029
3.25% कमाएँ
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic prospects for regaining House control in the 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that articles of impeachment will pass before January 2029. Recent actions, including Rep. Al Green’s August 2026 resolution citing alleged constitutional violations in immigration enforcement by ICE and CBP, along with earlier filings by Rep. Shri Thanedar, illustrate sustained Democratic focus on executive accountability. Traders price in these dynamics alongside polling showing public support for scrutiny and historical patterns of opposition-led investigations once majorities shift, while noting that current Republican control keeps near-term passage unlikely. Resolution depends solely on a House majority vote, independent of Senate conviction.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$96,341समाप्ति तिथि
20 जन, 2029बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic prospects for regaining House control in the 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that articles of impeachment will pass before January 2029. Recent actions, including Rep. Al Green’s August 2026 resolution citing alleged constitutional violations in immigration enforcement by ICE and CBP, along with earlier filings by Rep. Shri Thanedar, illustrate sustained Democratic focus on executive accountability. Traders price in these dynamics alongside polling showing public support for scrutiny and historical patterns of opposition-led investigations once majorities shift, while noting that current Republican control keeps near-term passage unlikely. Resolution depends solely on a House majority vote, independent of Senate conviction.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
वॉल्यूम
$96,341समाप्ति तिथि
20 जन, 2029बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Democratic prospects for regaining House control in the 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that articles of impeachment will pass before January 2029. Recent actions, including Rep. Al Green’s August 2026 resolution citing alleged constitutional violations in immigration enforcement by ICE and CBP, along with earlier filings by Rep. Shri Thanedar, illustrate sustained Democratic focus on executive accountability. Traders price in these dynamics alongside polling showing public support for scrutiny and historical patterns of opposition-led investigations once majorities shift, while noting that current Republican control keeps near-term passage unlikely. Resolution depends solely on a House majority vote, independent of Senate conviction.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न