Despite recent splits among House Republicans on whether to support clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell in exchange for testimony in the ongoing Epstein investigation, trader consensus assigns only a 9.5% chance of a pardon by the end of 2026. President Trump has offered no firm commitment, stating he would consult the Justice Department while noting he has received many pardon requests. Opposition from Democrats on the Oversight Committee, victims’ advocates, and concerns over public reaction to leniency in a high-profile sex-trafficking case continue to weigh heavily on assessments. These political and procedural barriers, rather than any outright prohibition, shape the current implied probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$552,038 वॉल्यूम
$552,038 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$552,038 वॉल्यूम
$552,038 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Despite recent splits among House Republicans on whether to support clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell in exchange for testimony in the ongoing Epstein investigation, trader consensus assigns only a 9.5% chance of a pardon by the end of 2026. President Trump has offered no firm commitment, stating he would consult the Justice Department while noting he has received many pardon requests. Opposition from Democrats on the Oversight Committee, victims’ advocates, and concerns over public reaction to leniency in a high-profile sex-trafficking case continue to weigh heavily on assessments. These political and procedural barriers, rather than any outright prohibition, shape the current implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$552,038समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Despite recent splits among House Republicans on whether to support clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell in exchange for testimony in the ongoing Epstein investigation, trader consensus assigns only a 9.5% chance of a pardon by the end of 2026. President Trump has offered no firm commitment, stating he would consult the Justice Department while noting he has received many pardon requests. Opposition from Democrats on the Oversight Committee, victims’ advocates, and concerns over public reaction to leniency in a high-profile sex-trafficking case continue to weigh heavily on assessments. These political and procedural barriers, rather than any outright prohibition, shape the current implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$552,038समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Despite recent splits among House Republicans on whether to support clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell in exchange for testimony in the ongoing Epstein investigation, trader consensus assigns only a 9.5% chance of a pardon by the end of 2026. President Trump has offered no firm commitment, stating he would consult the Justice Department while noting he has received many pardon requests. Opposition from Democrats on the Oversight Committee, victims’ advocates, and concerns over public reaction to leniency in a high-profile sex-trafficking case continue to weigh heavily on assessments. These political and procedural barriers, rather than any outright prohibition, shape the current implied probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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