Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5 has driven the strong market consensus around claude-opus-5-max, delivering step-change gains in deep reasoning, agentic workflows, and long-horizon coding tasks that place it near Claude Fable 5 performance at half the price. The model’s 1M-token context, default thinking mode, full effort ladder including max, and new state-of-the-art results on coding and knowledge benchmarks have quickly made it the default on Claude Max plans and the leading trader pick for the August 24 snapshot. Qwen3.8-Max’s early August launch offers competitive coding benchmarks and open weights, yet remains a distant option given its narrower demonstrated edge. With the evaluation window just two weeks away, no further major releases are confirmed that would alter the current hierarchy.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbaruiclaude-opus-5-max 90%
claude-opus-5-high 5.8%
Other 3.3%
qwen3.8-max 2.3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
claude-opus-5-max
90%
claude-opus-5-high
6%
Other
3%
qwen3.8-max
2%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
1%
claude-opus-5-max 90%
claude-opus-5-high 5.8%
Other 3.3%
qwen3.8-max 2.3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
claude-opus-5-max
$1,801 Vol.
90%
claude-opus-5-high
$149 Vol.
6%
Other
$458 Vol.
3%
qwen3.8-max
$93 Vol.
2%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
$145 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5 has driven the strong market consensus around claude-opus-5-max, delivering step-change gains in deep reasoning, agentic workflows, and long-horizon coding tasks that place it near Claude Fable 5 performance at half the price. The model’s 1M-token context, default thinking mode, full effort ladder including max, and new state-of-the-art results on coding and knowledge benchmarks have quickly made it the default on Claude Max plans and the leading trader pick for the August 24 snapshot. Qwen3.8-Max’s early August launch offers competitive coding benchmarks and open weights, yet remains a distant option given its narrower demonstrated edge. With the evaluation window just two weeks away, no further major releases are confirmed that would alter the current hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 8, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Volume
$2,647Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 12:15 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5 has driven the strong market consensus around claude-opus-5-max, delivering step-change gains in deep reasoning, agentic workflows, and long-horizon coding tasks that place it near Claude Fable 5 performance at half the price. The model’s 1M-token context, default thinking mode, full effort ladder including max, and new state-of-the-art results on coding and knowledge benchmarks have quickly made it the default on Claude Max plans and the leading trader pick for the August 24 snapshot. Qwen3.8-Max’s early August launch offers competitive coding benchmarks and open weights, yet remains a distant option given its narrower demonstrated edge. With the evaluation window just two weeks away, no further major releases are confirmed that would alter the current hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,647Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 12:15 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5 has driven the strong market consensus around claude-opus-5-max, delivering step-change gains in deep reasoning, agentic workflows, and long-horizon coding tasks that place it near Claude Fable 5 performance at half the price. The model’s 1M-token context, default thinking mode, full effort ladder including max, and new state-of-the-art results on coding and knowledge benchmarks have quickly made it the default on Claude Max plans and the leading trader pick for the August 24 snapshot. Qwen3.8-Max’s early August launch offers competitive coding benchmarks and open weights, yet remains a distant option given its narrower demonstrated edge. With the evaluation window just two weeks away, no further major releases are confirmed that would alter the current hierarchy.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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