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Teknologi·AI

Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)

icon for Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
Teknologi·AI

Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)

Jul 31

Aug 31

Sep 30

Jul 31

Aug 31

Sep 30

Anthropic 53%

OpenAI 44%

Moonshot 39%

Meta 39%

Polymarket
BARU

Anthropic 53%

OpenAI 44%

Moonshot 39%

Meta 39%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$0 Vol.

53%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Meta

Meta

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Google

Google

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$0 Vol.

32%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$0 Vol.

32%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$0 Vol.

32%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$0 Vol.

32%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$0 Vol.

32%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$0 Vol.

32%

icon for StepFun

StepFun

$0 Vol.

32%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$0 Vol.

32%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$0 Vol.

31%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$0 Vol.

31%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$0 Vol.

31%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$0 Vol.

31%

icon for Thinky

Thinky

$0 Vol.

31%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$0 Vol.

30%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$0 Vol.

29%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$0 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a narrow edge in trader sentiment for the end-of-September 2026 #1 AI model under Style Control On, reflecting its recent benchmark dominance with Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 topping composite quality and coding metrics like SWE-Bench. These models emphasize substantive reasoning over formatting, aligning directly with the resolution criteria that neutralize presentation advantages. Close competition from OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-5.5 Pro, plus Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro in accuracy and reasoning tasks, keeps multiple outcomes near even odds. Key swing factors include any September frontier releases, continued leaderboard shifts on LMSYS Arena, and how well each lab sustains gains in instruction-following and agentic capabilities amid rapid iteration cycles.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a narrow edge in trader sentiment for the end-of-September 2026 #1 AI model under Style Control On, reflecting its recent benchmark dominance with Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 topping composite quality and coding metrics like SWE-Bench. These models emphasize substantive reasoning over formatting, aligning directly with the resolution criteria that neutralize presentation advantages. Close competition from OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-5.5 Pro, plus Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro in accuracy and reasoning tasks, keeps multiple outcomes near even odds. Key swing factors include any September frontier releases, continued leaderboard shifts on LMSYS Arena, and how well each lab sustains gains in instruction-following and agentic capabilities amid rapid iteration cycles.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 21 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Anthropic" di 53%, diikuti oleh "OpenAI" di 45%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 53¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 53% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jul 20, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)," jelajahi 21 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)" adalah "Anthropic" di 53%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 53% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "OpenAI" di 45%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.