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icon for California Governor Primary Election: First Place
Politik·Primer

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

icon for California Governor Primary Election: First Place
Politik·Primer

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

Xavier Becerra 48%

Tom Steyer 25%

Steve Hilton 23%

Chad Bianco 2.8%

Polymarket

$26,794 Vol.

Xavier Becerra 48%

Tom Steyer 25%

Steve Hilton 23%

Chad Bianco 2.8%

Polymarket

$26,794 Vol.

Xavier Becerra

$7,623 Vol.

48%

Tom Steyer

$4,763 Vol.

25%

Steve Hilton

$3,377 Vol.

23%

Chad Bianco

$1,124 Vol.

3%

Matt Mahan

$1,580 Vol.

2%

Nicki Minaj

$698 Vol.

1%

Leo Zacky

$642 Vol.

1%

Derek Grasty

$721 Vol.

1%

Raji Rab

$682 Vol.

1%

Katie Porter

$1,177 Vol.

1%

Elaine Culotti

$511 Vol.

1%

Thunder Parley

$465 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$600 Vol.

<1%

Carolina Buhler

$575 Vol.

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$508 Vol.

<1%

Betty Yee

$618 Vol.

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$565 Vol.

<1%

Ramsey Robinson

$626 Vol.

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Former Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra's surge in the latest Emerson College/Inside California Politics poll—leading likely primary voters at 19% as of May 13, up 9 points since mid-April—has solidified trader consensus favoring him for first place in California's June 2 top-two gubernatorial primary, implying a 47.5% probability on Polymarket. The shift follows Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell's April withdrawal amid sexual misconduct allegations, consolidating support among Democrats in the fragmented open-seat race to succeed term-limited Gov. Gavin Newsom. Billionaire Tom Steyer and Republican Steve Hilton trail closely at 17% each, reflecting GOP consolidation and Steyer's environmental endorsements like Sierra Club's recent backing, while Hilton's voters show highest loyalty. Early voting is underway ahead of Thursday's final debate in San Francisco, keeping the path to the November runoff competitive in this crowded field.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$26,794
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Former Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra's surge in the latest Emerson College/Inside California Politics poll—leading likely primary voters at 19% as of May 13, up 9 points since mid-April—has solidified trader consensus favoring him for first place in California's June 2 top-two gubernatorial primary, implying a 47.5% probability on Polymarket. The shift follows Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell's April withdrawal amid sexual misconduct allegations, consolidating support among Democrats in the fragmented open-seat race to succeed term-limited Gov. Gavin Newsom. Billionaire Tom Steyer and Republican Steve Hilton trail closely at 17% each, reflecting GOP consolidation and Steyer's environmental endorsements like Sierra Club's recent backing, while Hilton's voters show highest loyalty. Early voting is underway ahead of Thursday's final debate in San Francisco, keeping the path to the November runoff competitive in this crowded field.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$26,794
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"California Governor Primary Election: First Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 18 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Xavier Becerra" di 48%, diikuti oleh "Tom Steyer" di 25%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 48¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 48% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" telah menghasilkan $26.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 16, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "California Governor Primary Election: First Place," jelajahi 18 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" adalah "Xavier Becerra" di 48%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 48% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Tom Steyer" di 25%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "California Governor Primary Election: First Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.