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Politik·Primer

CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Manny Rutinel 72%

Shannon Bird 22%

Yadira Caraveo <1%

Dave Young <1%

Polymarket

$20,867 Vol.

Manny Rutinel 72%

Shannon Bird 22%

Yadira Caraveo <1%

Dave Young <1%

Polymarket

$20,867 Vol.

Manny Rutinel

$12,896 Vol.

72%

Shannon Bird

$2,688 Vol.

36%

Yadira Caraveo

$1,039 Vol.

1%

Dave Young

$1,663 Vol.

<1%

John Szemler

$1,237 Vol.

<1%

Amie Baca-Oehlert

$1,345 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Representative Manny Rutinel commands 71.5% trader consensus to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, driven by his leading fundraising, endorsements from SEIU Local 105 and Colorado WINS, and progressive positioning that resonates with base voters in this battleground seat. Former state Representative Shannon Bird trails at 35.5% amid scrutiny over her "no" votes on key Democratic bills like immigration measures, highlighted in recent attacks including a May 13 EMILY's List TV ad labeling Rutinel extreme—yet odds reflect traders' view of his momentum holding firm. Former incumbent Yadira Caraveo languishes at 1.1% after ending her bid in September 2025; others trail far behind. No public polls have emerged in the past month, leaving skin-in-the-game pricing as the key signal ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$20,867
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Representative Manny Rutinel commands 71.5% trader consensus to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, driven by his leading fundraising, endorsements from SEIU Local 105 and Colorado WINS, and progressive positioning that resonates with base voters in this battleground seat. Former state Representative Shannon Bird trails at 35.5% amid scrutiny over her "no" votes on key Democratic bills like immigration measures, highlighted in recent attacks including a May 13 EMILY's List TV ad labeling Rutinel extreme—yet odds reflect traders' view of his momentum holding firm. Former incumbent Yadira Caraveo languishes at 1.1% after ending her bid in September 2025; others trail far behind. No public polls have emerged in the past month, leaving skin-in-the-game pricing as the key signal ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$20,867
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Manny Rutinel" di 72%, diikuti oleh "Shannon Bird" di 36%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 72¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 72% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $20.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Manny Rutinel" di 72%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 72% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Shannon Bird" di 36%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.