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PolitikΒ·Inggris

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

icon for Candidates in next Labour leadership election?
PolitikΒ·Inggris

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

$15,459 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$15,459 Vol.

Polymarket

Keir Starmer

$6,801 Vol.

24%

Wes Streeting

$3,398 Vol.

73%

Ed Miliband

$207 Vol.

48%

Angela Rayner

$584 Vol.

45%

Al Carns

$1,358 Vol.

38%

Andy Burnham

$3,111 Vol.

70%

This market will resolve to β€œYes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. β€œOfficial candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot. If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a β€œYes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent poor results for Labour in the May 2026 local elections have intensified internal pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting positioning by potential leadership candidates. Health Secretary Wes Streeting resigned on May 15 citing lost confidence in Starmer, while Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham has cleared a path to re-enter Parliament via a Makerfield by-election to strengthen any bid. Former Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner, recently cleared on tax matters, and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband have also been mentioned by MPs as possible contenders. A contest requires nominations from 20 percent of Labour MPs before a vote among party members, with current activity centered on coalition-building among soft-left and centrist factions ahead of any formal challenge.

This market will resolve to β€œYes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”.

β€œOfficial candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.

If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to β€œNo”.

If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a β€œYes” resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,459
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 2:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to β€œYes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. β€œOfficial candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot. If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a β€œYes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to β€œYes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. β€œOfficial candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot. If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a β€œYes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent poor results for Labour in the May 2026 local elections have intensified internal pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting positioning by potential leadership candidates. Health Secretary Wes Streeting resigned on May 15 citing lost confidence in Starmer, while Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham has cleared a path to re-enter Parliament via a Makerfield by-election to strengthen any bid. Former Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner, recently cleared on tax matters, and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband have also been mentioned by MPs as possible contenders. A contest requires nominations from 20 percent of Labour MPs before a vote among party members, with current activity centered on coalition-building among soft-left and centrist factions ahead of any formal challenge.

This market will resolve to β€œYes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”.

β€œOfficial candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.

If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to β€œNo”.

If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a β€œYes” resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,459
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 2:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to β€œYes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. β€œOfficial candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot. If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a β€œYes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Candidates in next Labour leadership election?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Wes Streeting" di 73%, diikuti oleh "Andy Burnham" di 70%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 73Β’ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 73% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Candidates in next Labour leadership election?" telah menghasilkan $15.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 13, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Candidates in next Labour leadership election?," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Candidates in next Labour leadership election?" adalah "Wes Streeting" di 73%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 73% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Andy Burnham" di 70%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Candidates in next Labour leadership election?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang β€” termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.