Recent April 2026 consumer price index data showing a 1.2% year-over-year rise, above consensus estimates and driven by elevated energy and transport costs amid Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader sentiment around the 1.1–1.5% annual inflation band, now priced at a 42% implied probability on Polymarket. Weak domestic demand, declining food prices, and persistent housing softness continue to limit upside pressure, keeping higher bands like 2.0–2.4% at just 8.4% while supporting the 0.6–1.0% interval at 22%. With core inflation holding near 1.2% and no aggressive policy response signaled by the People’s Bank of China, markets are pricing in a mild reflation path for the full-year average that aligns with subdued growth forecasts rather than outright deflation or rapid acceleration.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiChina Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
1.1 – 1.5% 50%
1.6 – 2.0% 42.8%
0.6 – 1.0% 24%
2.0-2.4% 13.4%
$40,817 Vol.
$40,817 Vol.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
<1%
0.1 – 0.5%
3%
0.6 – 1.0%
24%
1.1 – 1.5%
42%
1.6 – 2.0%
24%
2.0-2.4%
10%
2.5%+
6%
1.1 – 1.5% 50%
1.6 – 2.0% 42.8%
0.6 – 1.0% 24%
2.0-2.4% 13.4%
$40,817 Vol.
$40,817 Vol.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
$17,491 Vol.
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$2,347 Vol.
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$2,564 Vol.
<1%
0.1 – 0.5%
$2,852 Vol.
3%
0.6 – 1.0%
$2,956 Vol.
24%
1.1 – 1.5%
$3,491 Vol.
42%
1.6 – 2.0%
$3,995 Vol.
24%
2.0-2.4%
$2,580 Vol.
10%
2.5%+
$2,542 Vol.
6%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent April 2026 consumer price index data showing a 1.2% year-over-year rise, above consensus estimates and driven by elevated energy and transport costs amid Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader sentiment around the 1.1–1.5% annual inflation band, now priced at a 42% implied probability on Polymarket. Weak domestic demand, declining food prices, and persistent housing softness continue to limit upside pressure, keeping higher bands like 2.0–2.4% at just 8.4% while supporting the 0.6–1.0% interval at 22%. With core inflation holding near 1.2% and no aggressive policy response signaled by the People’s Bank of China, markets are pricing in a mild reflation path for the full-year average that aligns with subdued growth forecasts rather than outright deflation or rapid acceleration.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$40,817Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 10, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent April 2026 consumer price index data showing a 1.2% year-over-year rise, above consensus estimates and driven by elevated energy and transport costs amid Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader sentiment around the 1.1–1.5% annual inflation band, now priced at a 42% implied probability on Polymarket. Weak domestic demand, declining food prices, and persistent housing softness continue to limit upside pressure, keeping higher bands like 2.0–2.4% at just 8.4% while supporting the 0.6–1.0% interval at 22%. With core inflation holding near 1.2% and no aggressive policy response signaled by the People’s Bank of China, markets are pricing in a mild reflation path for the full-year average that aligns with subdued growth forecasts rather than outright deflation or rapid acceleration.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$40,817Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 10, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent April 2026 consumer price index data showing a 1.2% year-over-year rise, above consensus estimates and driven by elevated energy and transport costs amid Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader sentiment around the 1.1–1.5% annual inflation band, now priced at a 42% implied probability on Polymarket. Weak domestic demand, declining food prices, and persistent housing softness continue to limit upside pressure, keeping higher bands like 2.0–2.4% at just 8.4% while supporting the 0.6–1.0% interval at 22%. With core inflation holding near 1.2% and no aggressive policy response signaled by the People’s Bank of China, markets are pricing in a mild reflation path for the full-year average that aligns with subdued growth forecasts rather than outright deflation or rapid acceleration.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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