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icon for Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

icon for Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

19% peluang
Polymarket

$13,074 Vol.

19% peluang
Polymarket

$13,074 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Lagarde has repeatedly signaled her intent to serve out her full ECB term through October 2027, citing ongoing priorities such as consolidating price stability, advancing the digital euro project, and maintaining euro-area financial resilience. This stance directly counters February 2026 speculation of an earlier departure tied to French political timelines, with the ECB president describing completion of her mandate as the baseline scenario in both public remarks and internal communications. No official announcement or procedural step toward resignation has occurred, and Lagarde continues to lead monetary policy decisions and press conferences into 2026. Traders therefore assign an 81% implied probability that she will remain president through the end of the year, reflecting the absence of confirmed developments that would trigger an earlier exit.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,074
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Lagarde has repeatedly signaled her intent to serve out her full ECB term through October 2027, citing ongoing priorities such as consolidating price stability, advancing the digital euro project, and maintaining euro-area financial resilience. This stance directly counters February 2026 speculation of an earlier departure tied to French political timelines, with the ECB president describing completion of her mandate as the baseline scenario in both public remarks and internal communications. No official announcement or procedural step toward resignation has occurred, and Lagarde continues to lead monetary policy decisions and press conferences into 2026. Traders therefore assign an 81% implied probability that she will remain president through the end of the year, reflecting the absence of confirmed developments that would trigger an earlier exit.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,074
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 19% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 19¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 19% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?" telah menghasilkan $13.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Feb 24, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?" adalah 19% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 19% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.