Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices as traders assess supply risks into June. Production shut-ins in the region have tightened global inventories, with the EIA projecting sharp draws through the second quarter that support elevated benchmarks near recent levels above $100 per barrel. This dynamic contrasts with softer long-term fundamentals, including rising non-OPEC output and modest demand growth of roughly 0.9 million barrels per day for 2026. Key catalysts ahead include potential gradual reopening of shipping lanes by late June, OPEC+ spare capacity adjustments following the UAE’s exit, and upcoming inventory data that could shift market-implied odds on any price threshold by month-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAkankah Minyak Mentah (CL) mencapai__ pada akhir Juni?
$17,179,518 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
5%
↑ $150
13%
↑ $140
20%
↑ $130
31%
↑ $120
49%
↑ $115
59%
↑ $110
64%
↑ $105
87%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
48%
↓ $80
38%
↓ $70
13%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
2%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
$17,179,518 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
5%
↑ $150
13%
↑ $140
20%
↑ $130
31%
↑ $120
49%
↑ $115
59%
↑ $110
64%
↑ $105
87%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
48%
↓ $80
38%
↓ $70
13%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
2%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Pasar Dibuka: May 11, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices as traders assess supply risks into June. Production shut-ins in the region have tightened global inventories, with the EIA projecting sharp draws through the second quarter that support elevated benchmarks near recent levels above $100 per barrel. This dynamic contrasts with softer long-term fundamentals, including rising non-OPEC output and modest demand growth of roughly 0.9 million barrels per day for 2026. Key catalysts ahead include potential gradual reopening of shipping lanes by late June, OPEC+ spare capacity adjustments following the UAE’s exit, and upcoming inventory data that could shift market-implied odds on any price threshold by month-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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