Recent geopolitical tensions and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp supply disruptions, with Middle East crude output shut in by an estimated 10.5 million barrels per day in April and inventory draws projected at 8.5 million barrels per day through the second quarter. The EIA’s May Short-Term Energy Outlook assumes traffic begins recovering in June, supporting Brent prices near $106 per barrel through month-end while WTI trades in a similar range amid persistent backwardation in futures curves. OPEC’s downward revision to 2026 global demand growth and record U.S. export volumes have tempered upside momentum, though any delay in Hormuz normalization could sustain elevated levels. Traders are monitoring June FOMC signals and OPEC+ compliance data for shifts in risk appetite and dollar strength that could influence near-term crude volatility.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAkankah Minyak Mentah (CL) mencapai__ pada akhir Juni?
$17,115,196 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
5%
↑ $150
12%
↑ $140
19%
↑ $130
30%
↑ $120
47%
↑ $115
58%
↑ $110
67%
↑ $105
88%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
42%
↓ $80
36%
↓ $70
10%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
2%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
$17,115,196 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
5%
↑ $150
12%
↑ $140
19%
↑ $130
30%
↑ $120
47%
↑ $115
58%
↑ $110
67%
↑ $105
88%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
42%
↓ $80
36%
↓ $70
10%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
2%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 19, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Recent geopolitical tensions and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp supply disruptions, with Middle East crude output shut in by an estimated 10.5 million barrels per day in April and inventory draws projected at 8.5 million barrels per day through the second quarter. The EIA’s May Short-Term Energy Outlook assumes traffic begins recovering in June, supporting Brent prices near $106 per barrel through month-end while WTI trades in a similar range amid persistent backwardation in futures curves. OPEC’s downward revision to 2026 global demand growth and record U.S. export volumes have tempered upside momentum, though any delay in Hormuz normalization could sustain elevated levels. Traders are monitoring June FOMC signals and OPEC+ compliance data for shifts in risk appetite and dollar strength that could influence near-term crude volatility.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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