Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and production shut-ins across key Gulf producers, have driven crude oil prices sharply higher, with WTI and Brent benchmarks trading near $100–110 per barrel in mid-May 2026. These supply constraints have prompted substantial inventory draws, supporting near-term firmness through June as traders price in persistent risk premiums. Meanwhile, underlying fundamentals point to a looming surplus later in the year, with global demand growth projected at under 1 million barrels per day against faster non-OPEC supply expansion. Key upcoming catalysts include any progress on reopening the Strait, OPEC+ production decisions, and the June EIA inventory reports, which could shift market-implied odds for price thresholds by month-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAkankah Minyak Mentah (CL) mencapai__ pada akhir Juni?
$17,119,565 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
5%
↑ $150
12%
↑ $140
19%
↑ $130
30%
↑ $120
47%
↑ $115
58%
↑ $110
67%
↑ $105
87%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
42%
↓ $80
36%
↓ $70
10%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
2%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
$17,119,565 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
5%
↑ $150
12%
↑ $140
19%
↑ $130
30%
↑ $120
47%
↑ $115
58%
↑ $110
67%
↑ $105
87%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
42%
↓ $80
36%
↓ $70
10%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
2%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 19, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and production shut-ins across key Gulf producers, have driven crude oil prices sharply higher, with WTI and Brent benchmarks trading near $100–110 per barrel in mid-May 2026. These supply constraints have prompted substantial inventory draws, supporting near-term firmness through June as traders price in persistent risk premiums. Meanwhile, underlying fundamentals point to a looming surplus later in the year, with global demand growth projected at under 1 million barrels per day against faster non-OPEC supply expansion. Key upcoming catalysts include any progress on reopening the Strait, OPEC+ production decisions, and the June EIA inventory reports, which could shift market-implied odds for price thresholds by month-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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