Traders are positioning the 40-64 tweet range as the clear favorite at nearly 50% implied probability for Elon Musk’s output from June 18-20, followed by 65-89 at 35%, because recent activity patterns show moderation during mixed weekday-weekend stretches without major breaking news cycles. Musk has historically averaged 70-100 posts per day in 2025 data, with peaks above 150 on active weekdays, yet volumes often dip on Saturdays absent Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or political flashpoints. The mid-June timing, including Thursday and Friday followed by the weekend, aligns with trader observations of steadier but not extreme engagement when no high-stakes announcements are scheduled. Market consensus treats these brackets as realistic given the platform’s real-time sentiment tracking and Musk’s documented posting habits, while higher ranges above 115 remain longshots absent sudden catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui40-64 50%
65-89 35%
<40 8%
90-114 6.4%
BARU
$38,826 Vol.
BARU
$38,826 Vol.
Jun 20, 2026
<40
8%
40-64
50%
65-89
35%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 35%
<40 8%
90-114 6.4%
BARU
$38,826 Vol.
BARU
$38,826 Vol.
Jun 20, 2026
<40
$1,636 Vol.
8%
40-64
$667 Vol.
50%
65-89
$1,963 Vol.
35%
90-114
$1,458 Vol.
6%
115-139
$806 Vol.
1%
140-164
$512 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$4,847 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$13,896 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$6,964 Vol.
<1%
240+
$6,079 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 18 12:00 PM ET to June 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are positioning the 40-64 tweet range as the clear favorite at nearly 50% implied probability for Elon Musk’s output from June 18-20, followed by 65-89 at 35%, because recent activity patterns show moderation during mixed weekday-weekend stretches without major breaking news cycles. Musk has historically averaged 70-100 posts per day in 2025 data, with peaks above 150 on active weekdays, yet volumes often dip on Saturdays absent Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or political flashpoints. The mid-June timing, including Thursday and Friday followed by the weekend, aligns with trader observations of steadier but not extreme engagement when no high-stakes announcements are scheduled. Market consensus treats these brackets as realistic given the platform’s real-time sentiment tracking and Musk’s documented posting habits, while higher ranges above 115 remain longshots absent sudden catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 18 12:00 PM ET to June 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 PM ET
Volume
$38,826Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 18 12:00 PM ET to June 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are positioning the 40-64 tweet range as the clear favorite at nearly 50% implied probability for Elon Musk’s output from June 18-20, followed by 65-89 at 35%, because recent activity patterns show moderation during mixed weekday-weekend stretches without major breaking news cycles. Musk has historically averaged 70-100 posts per day in 2025 data, with peaks above 150 on active weekdays, yet volumes often dip on Saturdays absent Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or political flashpoints. The mid-June timing, including Thursday and Friday followed by the weekend, aligns with trader observations of steadier but not extreme engagement when no high-stakes announcements are scheduled. Market consensus treats these brackets as realistic given the platform’s real-time sentiment tracking and Musk’s documented posting habits, while higher ranges above 115 remain longshots absent sudden catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 18 12:00 PM ET to June 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$38,826Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are positioning the 40-64 tweet range as the clear favorite at nearly 50% implied probability for Elon Musk’s output from June 18-20, followed by 65-89 at 35%, because recent activity patterns show moderation during mixed weekday-weekend stretches without major breaking news cycles. Musk has historically averaged 70-100 posts per day in 2025 data, with peaks above 150 on active weekdays, yet volumes often dip on Saturdays absent Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or political flashpoints. The mid-June timing, including Thursday and Friday followed by the weekend, aligns with trader observations of steadier but not extreme engagement when no high-stakes announcements are scheduled. Market consensus treats these brackets as realistic given the platform’s real-time sentiment tracking and Musk’s documented posting habits, while higher ranges above 115 remain longshots absent sudden catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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