Elon Musk’s consistent posting pace on X underpins trader consensus around the 180-239 tweet range for the June 19-26 window, where implied probabilities sit within 1 percentage point of each other. Historical weekly totals from comparable 2026 periods have clustered near 200-280, reflecting his baseline of roughly 25-35 posts per day punctuated by spikes during company news or viral threads. With no major Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI milestones confirmed for that exact week, markets price in routine engagement rather than an outlier surge, leaving room for variance from breaking developments or quieter stretches. Traders weigh recent daily activity patterns most heavily, as last-minute events could still shift the final count across the tightly bunched frontrunners.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui180-199 19%
200-219 18%
220-239 18%
160-179 15%
BARU
$294,267 Vol.
BARU
$294,267 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
9%
160-179
15%
180-199
19%
200-219
18%
220-239
18%
240-259
9%
260-279
6%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 19%
200-219 18%
220-239 18%
160-179 15%
BARU
$294,267 Vol.
BARU
$294,267 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
<20
$12,381 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$10,371 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$11,571 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$29,509 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$8,029 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$1,884 Vol.
1%
120-139
$3,517 Vol.
4%
140-159
$1,665 Vol.
9%
160-179
$2,389 Vol.
15%
180-199
$1,924 Vol.
19%
200-219
$1,914 Vol.
18%
220-239
$951 Vol.
18%
240-259
$1,106 Vol.
9%
260-279
$1,263 Vol.
6%
280-299
$1,339 Vol.
3%
300-319
$1,719 Vol.
2%
320-339
$2,992 Vol.
1%
340-359
$6,947 Vol.
1%
360-379
$2,273 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$12,123 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$12,351 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$12,261 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$10,300 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$26,605 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$19,555 Vol.
<1%
500+
$97,329 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 19 12:00 PM ET to June 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent posting pace on X underpins trader consensus around the 180-239 tweet range for the June 19-26 window, where implied probabilities sit within 1 percentage point of each other. Historical weekly totals from comparable 2026 periods have clustered near 200-280, reflecting his baseline of roughly 25-35 posts per day punctuated by spikes during company news or viral threads. With no major Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI milestones confirmed for that exact week, markets price in routine engagement rather than an outlier surge, leaving room for variance from breaking developments or quieter stretches. Traders weigh recent daily activity patterns most heavily, as last-minute events could still shift the final count across the tightly bunched frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 19 12:00 PM ET to June 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 16, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$294,267Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 19 12:00 PM ET to June 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent posting pace on X underpins trader consensus around the 180-239 tweet range for the June 19-26 window, where implied probabilities sit within 1 percentage point of each other. Historical weekly totals from comparable 2026 periods have clustered near 200-280, reflecting his baseline of roughly 25-35 posts per day punctuated by spikes during company news or viral threads. With no major Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI milestones confirmed for that exact week, markets price in routine engagement rather than an outlier surge, leaving room for variance from breaking developments or quieter stretches. Traders weigh recent daily activity patterns most heavily, as last-minute events could still shift the final count across the tightly bunched frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 19 12:00 PM ET to June 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$294,267Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s consistent posting pace on X underpins trader consensus around the 180-239 tweet range for the June 19-26 window, where implied probabilities sit within 1 percentage point of each other. Historical weekly totals from comparable 2026 periods have clustered near 200-280, reflecting his baseline of roughly 25-35 posts per day punctuated by spikes during company news or viral threads. With no major Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI milestones confirmed for that exact week, markets price in routine engagement rather than an outlier surge, leaving room for variance from breaking developments or quieter stretches. Traders weigh recent daily activity patterns most heavily, as last-minute events could still shift the final count across the tightly bunched frontrunners.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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