**Trader consensus on "No" at 97.9% reflects the formal, virtual nature of recent US-Iran diplomacy amid the 2026 conflict.** A memorandum of understanding for a 60-day ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and further nuclear talks was reached June 14–15, with President Trump and Vice President Vance signing virtually alongside Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. A formal signing is slated for June 19, but proceedings remain mediated (including by Pakistan) and conducted through statements or electronic means rather than in-person encounters. No bilateral meetings or personal gestures have occurred or been scheduled in the narrow window to June 20, consistent with Trump’s G7 commitments in Europe and the structured negotiation process. A sudden in-person summit or ceremonial interaction before the deadline could theoretically shift odds, though current evidence shows no such development.
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Jun 20, 2026
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Jun 20, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump hugs any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.**Trader consensus on "No" at 97.9% reflects the formal, virtual nature of recent US-Iran diplomacy amid the 2026 conflict.** A memorandum of understanding for a 60-day ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and further nuclear talks was reached June 14–15, with President Trump and Vice President Vance signing virtually alongside Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. A formal signing is slated for June 19, but proceedings remain mediated (including by Pakistan) and conducted through statements or electronic means rather than in-person encounters. No bilateral meetings or personal gestures have occurred or been scheduled in the narrow window to June 20, consistent with Trump’s G7 commitments in Europe and the structured negotiation process. A sudden in-person summit or ceremonial interaction before the deadline could theoretically shift odds, though current evidence shows no such development.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump hugs any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 15, 2026, 8:36 PM ET
Volume
$2,134Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 15, 2026, 8:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump hugs any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.**Trader consensus on "No" at 97.9% reflects the formal, virtual nature of recent US-Iran diplomacy amid the 2026 conflict.** A memorandum of understanding for a 60-day ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and further nuclear talks was reached June 14–15, with President Trump and Vice President Vance signing virtually alongside Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. A formal signing is slated for June 19, but proceedings remain mediated (including by Pakistan) and conducted through statements or electronic means rather than in-person encounters. No bilateral meetings or personal gestures have occurred or been scheduled in the narrow window to June 20, consistent with Trump’s G7 commitments in Europe and the structured negotiation process. A sudden in-person summit or ceremonial interaction before the deadline could theoretically shift odds, though current evidence shows no such development.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump hugs any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Volume
$2,134Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 15, 2026, 8:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus on "No" at 97.9% reflects the formal, virtual nature of recent US-Iran diplomacy amid the 2026 conflict.** A memorandum of understanding for a 60-day ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and further nuclear talks was reached June 14–15, with President Trump and Vice President Vance signing virtually alongside Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. A formal signing is slated for June 19, but proceedings remain mediated (including by Pakistan) and conducted through statements or electronic means rather than in-person encounters. No bilateral meetings or personal gestures have occurred or been scheduled in the narrow window to June 20, consistent with Trump’s G7 commitments in Europe and the structured negotiation process. A sudden in-person summit or ceremonial interaction before the deadline could theoretically shift odds, though current evidence shows no such development.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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