Skip to main content
icon for Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Politik·Trump

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

icon for Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Politik·Trump

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

BARU
Aug 1, 2026
Polymarket

$29 Vol.

Polymarket

JD Vance

$28 Vol.

56%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$17 Vol.

46%

Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah

$0 Vol.

46%

Mohammed bin Salman

$0 Vol.

45%

Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan

$0 Vol.

45%

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa

$0 Vol.

45%

King Abdullah II

$0 Vol.

45%

Marco Rubio

$0 Vol.

43%

Masoud Pezeshkian

$0 Vol.

43%

Abbas Araghchi

$0 Vol.

43%

Shehbaz Sharif

$0 Vol.

43%

Steve Witkoff

$0 Vol.

43%

Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$0 Vol.

43%

Recep Tayyip Erdogan

$0 Vol.

43%

Donald Trump

$0 Vol.

43%

Ali Larijani

$15 Vol.

39%

Abdel Fattah el-Sisi

$0 Vol.

37%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$0 Vol.

28%

Pete Hegseth

$12 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations amid a fragile 2026 ceasefire center on an interim memorandum of understanding that would extend the April 8 Pakistan-mediated halt to hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, address Iran's nuclear program and highly enriched uranium stockpile, and ease certain sanctions or release frozen assets.** President Trump has publicly stated that a framework is largely negotiated and approved at senior levels, with a possible signing ceremony in Europe imminent, while cautioning against rushing final terms. Iranian officials continue to press for simultaneous U.S. concessions and economic relief, citing past U.S. withdrawal from the JCPOA, and have linked progress to developments in Lebanon. Direct talks in Islamabad broke down in April, and subsequent proposals have been exchanged without full resolution on enrichment limits or verification. Military pressure from prior U.S.-Israeli strikes, Iran's internal protests, and global oil-market disruptions remain key background factors shaping the pace of diplomacy.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.

The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.

The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations amid a fragile 2026 ceasefire center on an interim memorandum of understanding that would extend the April 8 Pakistan-mediated halt to hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, address Iran's nuclear program and highly enriched uranium stockpile, and ease certain sanctions or release frozen assets.** President Trump has publicly stated that a framework is largely negotiated and approved at senior levels, with a possible signing ceremony in Europe imminent, while cautioning against rushing final terms. Iranian officials continue to press for simultaneous U.S. concessions and economic relief, citing past U.S. withdrawal from the JCPOA, and have linked progress to developments in Lebanon. Direct talks in Islamabad broke down in April, and subsequent proposals have been exchanged without full resolution on enrichment limits or verification. Military pressure from prior U.S.-Israeli strikes, Iran's internal protests, and global oil-market disruptions remain key background factors shaping the pace of diplomacy.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.

The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.

The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 19 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "JD Vance" di 56%, diikuti oleh "Benjamin Netanyahu" di 46%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 56¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 56% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 12, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?," jelajahi 19 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?" adalah "JD Vance" di 56%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 56% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Benjamin Netanyahu" di 46%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.