Ongoing military escalation and the expiration of the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding’s 60-day negotiation window have driven the high implied probability against a UN Security Council resolution endorsing a final deal by year-end. Renewed U.S. sanctions targeting Iran’s ties to Hezbollah, naval blockade enforcement, and threats of expanded economic measures followed Iranian actions in the Strait of Hormuz and related strikes. Diplomatic channels remain stalled amid disputes over nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and maritime control, with no verified progress toward a comprehensive agreement since mid-2026 talks concluded without resolution. These developments align with trader consensus that structural barriers, including active conflict and divergent positions on core issues, make timely UNSC endorsement unlikely absent major de-escalation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
13% peluang
$174,872 Vol.
$174,872 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
13% peluang
$174,872 Vol.
$174,872 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ongoing military escalation and the expiration of the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding’s 60-day negotiation window have driven the high implied probability against a UN Security Council resolution endorsing a final deal by year-end. Renewed U.S. sanctions targeting Iran’s ties to Hezbollah, naval blockade enforcement, and threats of expanded economic measures followed Iranian actions in the Strait of Hormuz and related strikes. Diplomatic channels remain stalled amid disputes over nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and maritime control, with no verified progress toward a comprehensive agreement since mid-2026 talks concluded without resolution. These developments align with trader consensus that structural barriers, including active conflict and divergent positions on core issues, make timely UNSC endorsement unlikely absent major de-escalation.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Volume
$174,872Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ongoing military escalation and the expiration of the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding’s 60-day negotiation window have driven the high implied probability against a UN Security Council resolution endorsing a final deal by year-end. Renewed U.S. sanctions targeting Iran’s ties to Hezbollah, naval blockade enforcement, and threats of expanded economic measures followed Iranian actions in the Strait of Hormuz and related strikes. Diplomatic channels remain stalled amid disputes over nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and maritime control, with no verified progress toward a comprehensive agreement since mid-2026 talks concluded without resolution. These developments align with trader consensus that structural barriers, including active conflict and divergent positions on core issues, make timely UNSC endorsement unlikely absent major de-escalation.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$174,872Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military escalation and the expiration of the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding’s 60-day negotiation window have driven the high implied probability against a UN Security Council resolution endorsing a final deal by year-end. Renewed U.S. sanctions targeting Iran’s ties to Hezbollah, naval blockade enforcement, and threats of expanded economic measures followed Iranian actions in the Strait of Hormuz and related strikes. Diplomatic channels remain stalled amid disputes over nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and maritime control, with no verified progress toward a comprehensive agreement since mid-2026 talks concluded without resolution. These developments align with trader consensus that structural barriers, including active conflict and divergent positions on core issues, make timely UNSC endorsement unlikely absent major de-escalation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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