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Pemilihan UmumΒ·Republican Primary

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-06 Republican Primary Winner
Pemilihan UmumΒ·Republican Primary

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

Randy FineΒ 85%

Dan BilzerianΒ 8.8%

Aaron BakerΒ 5.4%

Alexandra Van CleefΒ <1%

Polymarket

$149,593 Vol.

Randy FineΒ 85%

Dan BilzerianΒ 8.8%

Aaron BakerΒ 5.4%

Alexandra Van CleefΒ <1%

Polymarket

$149,593 Vol.

Randy Fine

$15,904 Vol.

85%

Dan Bilzerian

$48,509 Vol.

9%

Aaron Baker

$15,822 Vol.

5%

Alexandra Van Cleef

$27,835 Vol.

<1%

Joshua Vasquez

$10,983 Vol.

<1%

Charles Gambaro

$11,392 Vol.

<1%

Ernest Audino

$19,148 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Randy Fine holds a commanding lead in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida’s 6th Congressional District, as traders assign him an 84.5 percent probability of victory. His position stems from strong fundraising totals exceeding those of all challengers combined, endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, and his record following a 2025 special election victory. Dan Bilzerian’s 8.8 percent share reflects name recognition from his public profile, while Aaron Baker’s 5.5 percent tracks limited local backing. The remaining candidates each sit near 0.1 percent amid minimal reported support or resources. Upcoming filing deadlines and primary-day turnout will determine whether any challenger narrows the gap before August.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$149,593
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Randy Fine holds a commanding lead in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida’s 6th Congressional District, as traders assign him an 84.5 percent probability of victory. His position stems from strong fundraising totals exceeding those of all challengers combined, endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, and his record following a 2025 special election victory. Dan Bilzerian’s 8.8 percent share reflects name recognition from his public profile, while Aaron Baker’s 5.5 percent tracks limited local backing. The remaining candidates each sit near 0.1 percent amid minimal reported support or resources. Upcoming filing deadlines and primary-day turnout will determine whether any challenger narrows the gap before August.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$149,593
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"FL-06 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Randy Fine" di 85%, diikuti oleh "Dan Bilzerian" di 9%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 85Β’ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 85% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $149.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 13, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Randy Fine" di 85%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 85% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Dan Bilzerian" di 9%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "FL-06 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang β€” termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.