Skip to main content
icon for AL-01 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

icon for AL-01 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

Jerry Carl 100.0%

Rhett Marques 5.5%

James Dees <1%

Joshua McKee <1%

Polymarket

$50,725 Vol.

Jerry Carl 100.0%

Rhett Marques 5.5%

James Dees <1%

Joshua McKee <1%

Polymarket

$50,725 Vol.

Jerry Carl

$6,571 Vol.

Yes

James Dees

$4,733 Vol.

No

Rhett Marques

$1,081 Vol.

No

Joshua McKee

$242 Vol.

No

John Mills

$16,885 Vol.

No

James Richardson

$7,329 Vol.

No

Austin Sidwell

$13,885 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama's 1st Congressional District in the August 11, 2026, special primary, driving the market's 100% consensus on his victory. As the former U.S. representative for the district from 2021 to 2025, Carl benefited from strong name recognition, established local networks in Mobile and Baldwin counties, and the open seat created by incumbent Barry Moore's Senate bid. His campaign emphasized continuity on district priorities amid low-turnout concerns for the special election. With results now finalized and Carl advancing to face the Democratic nominee in November, the implied probability reflects confirmed primary outcomes. Late shifts remain possible only in the event of unresolved procedural disputes, such as official certification delays or recounts, though historical patterns in Alabama Republican primaries show such challenges rarely alter decisive results.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$50,725
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama's 1st Congressional District in the August 11, 2026, special primary, driving the market's 100% consensus on his victory. As the former U.S. representative for the district from 2021 to 2025, Carl benefited from strong name recognition, established local networks in Mobile and Baldwin counties, and the open seat created by incumbent Barry Moore's Senate bid. His campaign emphasized continuity on district priorities amid low-turnout concerns for the special election. With results now finalized and Carl advancing to face the Democratic nominee in November, the implied probability reflects confirmed primary outcomes. Late shifts remain possible only in the event of unresolved procedural disputes, such as official certification delays or recounts, though historical patterns in Alabama Republican primaries show such challenges rarely alter decisive results.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$50,725
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

Terkait

icon for Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat?

95%
icon for Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?

Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?

1%
icon for Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?

Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?

54%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jerry Carl" di 100%, diikuti oleh "James Dees" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $50.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Mar 26, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Jerry Carl" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "James Dees" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.