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Politik·Primer

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

icon for AL-01 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

Jerry Carl 72%

Rhett Marques 8%

Austin Sidwell 3.3%

James Dees 2.6%

Polymarket

$40,572 Vol.

Jerry Carl 72%

Rhett Marques 8%

Austin Sidwell 3.3%

James Dees 2.6%

Polymarket

$40,572 Vol.

Jerry Carl

$1,208 Vol.

68%

Rhett Marques

$297 Vol.

12%

Austin Sidwell

$13,603 Vol.

3%

James Dees

$4,297 Vol.

3%

James Richardson

$5,651 Vol.

2%

Joshua McKee

$174 Vol.

2%

John Mills

$15,342 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Jerry Carl leads trader consensus at 68% implied probability to win the AL-01 Republican primary nomination following State Rep. Rhett Marques' announcement on May 12 to switch to the AL-02 race amid a Supreme Court ruling enabling reversion to pre-2023 congressional maps. This development, prompting Gov. Kay Ivey to call a special primary for Districts 1, 2, 6, and 7 on August 11 after nullifying May 19 results, has cleared Carl's path by sidelining his top challenger and Joshua McKee, who also shifted districts. Carl's name recognition from prior AL-01 service, Q1 fundraising edge, and April polls showing him ahead in a fragmented seven-candidate field—despite tightening races—bolster his position, with Austin Sidwell at 4% next amid re-qualification from May 20-22.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,572
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Jerry Carl leads trader consensus at 68% implied probability to win the AL-01 Republican primary nomination following State Rep. Rhett Marques' announcement on May 12 to switch to the AL-02 race amid a Supreme Court ruling enabling reversion to pre-2023 congressional maps. This development, prompting Gov. Kay Ivey to call a special primary for Districts 1, 2, 6, and 7 on August 11 after nullifying May 19 results, has cleared Carl's path by sidelining his top challenger and Joshua McKee, who also shifted districts. Carl's name recognition from prior AL-01 service, Q1 fundraising edge, and April polls showing him ahead in a fragmented seven-candidate field—despite tightening races—bolster his position, with Austin Sidwell at 4% next amid re-qualification from May 20-22.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,572
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jerry Carl" di 68%, diikuti oleh "Rhett Marques" di 12%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 68¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 68% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $40.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Mar 26, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Jerry Carl" di 68%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 68% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Rhett Marques" di 12%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.