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Politik·Primer

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Dan Koh 80%

Rachel Creemers 3.4%

Tram Nguyen 3.3%

John Beccia 2.6%

Polymarket

$36,919 Vol.

Dan Koh 80%

Rachel Creemers 3.4%

Tram Nguyen 3.3%

John Beccia 2.6%

Polymarket

$36,919 Vol.

Dan Koh

$4,562 Vol.

80%

Rachel Creemers

$2,182 Vol.

3%

Tram Nguyen

$4,427 Vol.

3%

John Beccia

$1,766 Vol.

3%

Diann Slavit Baylis

$5,158 Vol.

2%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$2,276 Vol.

2%

Kevin Larivee

$1,519 Vol.

2%

Mariah Lancaster

$1,896 Vol.

1%

Seth Moulton

$1,876 Vol.

1%

Rick Jakious

$3,479 Vol.

1%

Beth Andres-Beck

$1,592 Vol.

<1%

Dominick Pangallo

$6,189 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh's dominant 79.5% implied probability in the MA-06 Democratic primary reflects his commanding fundraising lead—over $1 million raised in a single week last fall and topping ActBlue totals—and recent high-profile endorsements, including former President Biden's on May 4 and Swampscott Select Board Chair Katie Phelan's this week. Incumbent Rep. Seth Moulton vacated the open seat for a U.S. Senate primary challenge against Ed Markey, drawing a crowded field where Koh leads the only credible poll with substantial support. Challengers like Tram Nguyen trail amid weaker resources, with traders betting on Koh's momentum ahead of the September 1 primary amid ongoing forums and local Democratic town committee events.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$36,919
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh's dominant 79.5% implied probability in the MA-06 Democratic primary reflects his commanding fundraising lead—over $1 million raised in a single week last fall and topping ActBlue totals—and recent high-profile endorsements, including former President Biden's on May 4 and Swampscott Select Board Chair Katie Phelan's this week. Incumbent Rep. Seth Moulton vacated the open seat for a U.S. Senate primary challenge against Ed Markey, drawing a crowded field where Koh leads the only credible poll with substantial support. Challengers like Tram Nguyen trail amid weaker resources, with traders betting on Koh's momentum ahead of the September 1 primary amid ongoing forums and local Democratic town committee events.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$36,919
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 12 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Dan Koh" di 80%, diikuti oleh "Rachel Creemers" di 3%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 80¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 80% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $36.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 12 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Dan Koh" di 80%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 80% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Rachel Creemers" di 3%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.