Recent polling in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary shows incumbent Ed Markey maintaining a double-digit lead over challenger Seth Moulton, with surveys from Suffolk University/Boston Globe and UMass Amherst/WCVB placing the margin between 14 and 28 points among likely voters just days before the September 1 contest. Markey benefits from high name recognition, strong trust ratings on core issues, and endorsements that reinforce his progressive positioning, while Moulton’s more moderate profile has not closed the gap despite a final debate. These trends support trader consensus around Markey’s victory in the 15–30 percent range, though the elevated price on “other” reflects ongoing uncertainty over the exact spread amid low undecideds and last-minute turnout dynamics.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMarkey 20–25% 47%
Markey 10–15% 43%
Markey 5–10% 37%
Markey 35–40% 37%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
Markey 40%+
32%
Markey 35–40%
37%
Markey 30–35%
34%
Markey 25–30%
36%
Markey 20–25%
47%
Markey 15–20%
35%
Markey 10–15%
43%
Markey 5–10%
37%
Markey <5%
33%
Moulton <5%
33%
Moulton 5%+
10%
Markey 20–25% 47%
Markey 10–15% 43%
Markey 5–10% 37%
Markey 35–40% 37%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
Markey 40%+
$16 Vol.
32%
Markey 35–40%
$16 Vol.
37%
Markey 30–35%
$16 Vol.
34%
Markey 25–30%
$16 Vol.
36%
Markey 20–25%
$16 Vol.
47%
Markey 15–20%
$16 Vol.
35%
Markey 10–15%
$16 Vol.
43%
Markey 5–10%
$16 Vol.
37%
Markey <5%
$16 Vol.
33%
Moulton <5%
$16 Vol.
33%
Moulton 5%+
$101 Vol.
10%
The Massachusetts state primary is scheduled to be held on September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary shows incumbent Ed Markey maintaining a double-digit lead over challenger Seth Moulton, with surveys from Suffolk University/Boston Globe and UMass Amherst/WCVB placing the margin between 14 and 28 points among likely voters just days before the September 1 contest. Markey benefits from high name recognition, strong trust ratings on core issues, and endorsements that reinforce his progressive positioning, while Moulton’s more moderate profile has not closed the gap despite a final debate. These trends support trader consensus around Markey’s victory in the 15–30 percent range, though the elevated price on “other” reflects ongoing uncertainty over the exact spread amid low undecideds and last-minute turnout dynamics.
The Massachusetts state primary is scheduled to be held on September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$261Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.sec.state.ma.us/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Massachusetts state primary is scheduled to be held on September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary shows incumbent Ed Markey maintaining a double-digit lead over challenger Seth Moulton, with surveys from Suffolk University/Boston Globe and UMass Amherst/WCVB placing the margin between 14 and 28 points among likely voters just days before the September 1 contest. Markey benefits from high name recognition, strong trust ratings on core issues, and endorsements that reinforce his progressive positioning, while Moulton’s more moderate profile has not closed the gap despite a final debate. These trends support trader consensus around Markey’s victory in the 15–30 percent range, though the elevated price on “other” reflects ongoing uncertainty over the exact spread amid low undecideds and last-minute turnout dynamics.
The Massachusetts state primary is scheduled to be held on September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$261Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.sec.state.ma.us/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary shows incumbent Ed Markey maintaining a double-digit lead over challenger Seth Moulton, with surveys from Suffolk University/Boston Globe and UMass Amherst/WCVB placing the margin between 14 and 28 points among likely voters just days before the September 1 contest. Markey benefits from high name recognition, strong trust ratings on core issues, and endorsements that reinforce his progressive positioning, while Moulton’s more moderate profile has not closed the gap despite a final debate. These trends support trader consensus around Markey’s victory in the 15–30 percent range, though the elevated price on “other” reflects ongoing uncertainty over the exact spread amid low undecideds and last-minute turnout dynamics.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan