Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama's 1st Congressional District in an August 2026 special primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote and prevailed in the November 3 general election with approximately 58-59 percent against Democrat Clyde Jones Jr. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook PVI rating near R+17 and consistent past margins, combined with Carl's prior congressional service and fundraising advantage, produced the current trader consensus. Results from the Alabama Secretary of State confirm Carl's victory. Late changes remain unlikely absent an official recount or successful legal challenge to the certified totals.